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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 18, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Thunder56%100117
14Mavericks44%98114
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.3
49.7
35.0
52
65%
9
1
2
1
0
4
0
9
21-21
100%
8-22
7-12
36%
54%
5-9
56%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.2
45.0
31.8
31
52%
6
6
1
2
0
4
4
2
7-9
78%
12-23
6-14
52%
47%
0-3
0%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.3
44.8
28.1
11
40%
14
0
0
0
2
4
7
7
1-2
50%
5-13
5-8
38%
55%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 28.2
29.8
25.3
2
33%
9
1
1
0
0
1
3
6
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.7
24.9
23.0
0
0%
5
3
2
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
52%
0-2
0%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 30.0
31.5
25.8
11
47%
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
4-4
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
47%
1-6
17%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 32.2
22.3
16.0
8
67%
5
0
0
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
4-6
2-3
67%
59%
0-0
-
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 24.8
9.1
18.4
0
0%
2
1
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 22.8
8.0
15.8
2
50%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 25.9
15.7
0
1-2
55%
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 21.3
8.4
0
1-2
51%
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 20.6
4.9
0
0-1
46%
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.6
2.2
0
0-0
39%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 22.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.2
44.9
33.1
18
48%
3
7
2
1
0
3
1
2
5-6
83%
5-13
4-8
38%
45%
1-3
33%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 34.6
40.7
31.4
18
39%
9
1
1
1
0
1
1
8
8-9
89%
5-17
5-10
29%
47%
0-2
0%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.4
30.6
30.5
15
70%
4
6
3
1
0
1
0
4
5-6
83%
5-7
4-7
71%
48%
0-1
0%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 34.7
27.7
28.6
8
80%
7
2
0
1
1
4
2
5
0-0
-
4-5
4-8
80%
48%
0-0
-
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 30.7
16.4
19.4
6
60%
3
2
1
0
0
3
2
1
0-0
-
3-5
4-9
60%
47%
0-0
-
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 33.9
36.2
23.5
10
42%
13
1
0
1
1
1
5
8
2-2
100%
4-11
3-7
36%
48%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 36.0
32.4
21.4
29
72%
3
2
2
1
1
0
0
3
5-7
71%
6-9
2-4
67%
45%
4-8
50%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 37.6
22.3
8.8
10
71%
2
2
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
39%
2-5
40%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.5
8.8
13.7
0
0%
1
1
2
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-1
0%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 32.1
5.1
10.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.9
8.1
0
1-2
47%
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 27.9
4.4
0
1-1
48%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.3
3.9
0
1-1
57%
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 21.7
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.