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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 19, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs62%9898
18Hawks38%9493
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.6
34.7
23.8
7
39%
2
2
1
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
48%
1-4
25%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 21.6
33.8
27.0
14
72%
5
1
2
1
1
0
1
4
4-4
100%
2-3
2-3
67%
55%
2-5
40%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.7
33.3
34.2
23
48%
4
12
1
1
0
1
0
4
3-5
60%
10-21
7-14
48%
51%
0-1
0%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 28.0
28.6
29.9
14
64%
7
0
0
1
1
1
1
6
0-0
-
7-11
5-8
64%
59%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 30.8
24.9
22.9
9
64%
4
3
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
3-3
2-3
100%
55%
1-4
25%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 32.8
23.1
6.0
17
106%
5
1
2
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
4-5
0-1
80%
48%
3-3
100%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 23.7
19.4
3.9
7
44%
7
0
2
0
1
1
1
6
1-2
50%
3-7
1-1
43%
51%
0-0
-
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.3
19.0
20.1
4
22%
1
1
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
46%
0-4
0%
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.6
14.7
4.5
3
75%
3
1
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
1-1
100%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.8
8.6
21.2
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
0-2
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 36.7
30.3
1
7-13
50%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.4
9.3
0
1-2
48%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.4
2.9
0
0-1
43%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 35.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 31.8
38.1
30.1
19
79%
8
1
0
1
0
0
0
8
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
43%
5-8
63%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 27.1
37.9
28.7
21
57%
8
3
1
1
0
1
1
7
5-8
63%
8-14
5-10
57%
47%
0-1
0%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.6
37.9
23.1
9
38%
15
6
0
0
1
3
4
11
1-2
50%
4-11
4-8
36%
52%
0-0
-
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 24.6
37.6
34.0
16
45%
4
8
0
1
0
5
2
2
4-4
100%
6-13
4-9
46%
48%
0-3
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 28.9
28.4
26.2
4
50%
9
1
0
1
0
2
3
6
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
48%
0-0
-
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 21.9
22.9
13.1
9
35%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
2-6
1-2
33%
44%
1-6
17%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 29.9
17.4
27.4
13
61%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
3-6
50%
2-5
2-4
40%
48%
2-3
67%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.6
8.7
8.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 28.8
7.2
13.0
2
33%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
0-0
-
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 24.5
4.0
7.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 31.8
8.1
0
0-0
39%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 27.0
6.9
0
1-2
42%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.3
3.6
0
0-1
45%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.