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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 19, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Grizzlies42%8885
9Bulls58%9182
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.3
46.7
33.0
13
49%
0
9
3
2
3
3
0
0
3-5
60%
5-9
3-7
56%
44%
0-2
0%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.4
45.1
34.2
16
37%
8
2
2
1
2
2
3
5
4-6
67%
6-19
5-12
32%
47%
0-0
-
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.5
41.9
21.5
13
30%
19
0
1
0
0
1
9
10
1-4
25%
6-19
4-8
32%
49%
0-1
0%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 31.0
38.6
31.3
9
58%
6
2
0
2
0
0
1
5
3-4
75%
3-6
4-8
50%
46%
0-0
-
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.0
32.3
32.0
19
70%
8
1
1
1
1
1
3
5
5-8
63%
7-10
5-9
70%
49%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.8
19.7
23.0
8
57%
2
1
1
1
2
3
1
1
0-0
-
4-7
4-8
57%
48%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 25.1
15.6
17.8
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
41%
0-1
0%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.4
13.7
19.6
2
33%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
43%
0-0
-
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 25.5
11.4
17.5
5
34%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
2-6
3-7
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Josh Selby
G · 6'2" 183 · 21.8
4.4
0
0-1
41%
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 19.8
4.1
0
0-1
43%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 27.7
3.9
0
0-1
48%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 23.3
47.7
16.3
18
54%
8
3
3
0
0
1
4
4
8-8
100%
5-12
2-3
42%
49%
0-1
0%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 31.2
47.3
34.4
17
39%
14
3
1
1
0
5
3
11
3-6
50%
7-18
7-15
39%
50%
0-1
0%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 27.9
26.7
36.8
10
45%
5
3
0
1
2
2
2
3
0-0
-
5-11
5-10
45%
49%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 32.0
24.5
27.5
3
38%
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
1-3
33%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 34.9
23.0
22.3
5
34%
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-1
100%
2-6
4-8
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.6
31.4
17.9
10
57%
12
1
1
0
4
1
5
7
4-4
100%
3-7
2-5
43%
48%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 26.8
30.0
23.0
8
40%
3
3
0
1
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
2-6
2-5
33%
43%
1-3
33%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 28.6
29.0
18.7
11
37%
4
5
0
1
0
4
0
4
0-0
-
4-10
2-5
40%
46%
1-5
20%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.7
5.1
1.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
40%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.2
0.2
1.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 19.9
0.2
2.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 35.4
0.0
3.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.8
32.7
1
4-9
46%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.