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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 19, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Rockets47%10179
21Timberwolves53%10292
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.4
38.9
37.8
18
40%
7
5
2
2
0
4
4
3
8-10
80%
5-11
6-12
45%
50%
0-7
0%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.4
34.2
32.2
12
39%
4
2
2
2
0
3
3
1
6-8
75%
3-9
3-7
33%
47%
0-3
0%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.2
33.3
36.6
7
32%
4
1
1
1
1
3
3
1
2-2
100%
1-7
4-7
14%
51%
1-3
33%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.9
19.3
21.4
3
50%
4
0
0
0
1
0
3
1
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
49%
1-1
100%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.5
15.6
29.6
2
25%
5
0
0
1
0
3
2
3
0-0
-
1-4
4-7
25%
52%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 30.4
33.8
24.6
15
58%
3
0
1
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
1-3
1-3
33%
44%
4-9
44%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 22.0
25.1
15.2
12
67%
8
1
1
0
0
1
2
6
0-0
-
6-9
2-3
67%
54%
0-0
-
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 24.5
17.2
12.0
2
17%
3
2
0
0
0
3
3
0
2-4
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
40%
0-3
0%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.8
11.3
9.4
5
64%
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
42%
1-3
33%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.4
11.3
16.5
3
50%
2
1
1
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
1-2
50%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 24.2
1.7
0
0-0
50%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 23.8
1.6
0
0-0
42%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 22.3
1.5
0
0-0
50%
Royce White
F · 6'8" 260 · 21.8
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 21.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.9
41.9
32.6
21
72%
11
2
3
1
0
3
5
6
5-8
63%
8-9
4-7
89%
53%
0-2
0%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.9
36.7
29.3
16
56%
2
1
0
1
1
3
0
2
3-3
100%
5-10
4-7
50%
50%
1-3
33%
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 22.2
30.1
23.9
7
62%
1
6
0
1
0
2
0
1
5-6
83%
1-2
2-5
50%
40%
0-1
0%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.7
29.4
26.3
11
51%
5
1
1
1
0
3
0
5
4-4
100%
2-6
4-8
33%
48%
1-3
33%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 27.3
21.9
14.5
0
0%
5
0
0
1
2
0
0
5
0-0
-
0-4
2-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.6
24.9
19.1
11
42%
0
3
0
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
4-10
3-5
40%
46%
1-3
33%
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.7
21.3
11
61%
4
1
0
0
0
0
4
5-7
71%
3-4
75%
0-2
0%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'11" 210 · 27.5
18.0
0.9
15
100%
6
0
0
0
1
0
3
3
7-8
88%
4-4
0-0
100%
50%
0-0
-
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 30.1
15.8
2.5
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.7
31.7
1
5-10
49%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 27.0
27.3
1
6-11
54%
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 24.1
24.4
1
2-5
47%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 24.4
9.3
0
2-3
49%
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 24.7
Malcolm Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.7
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 28.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.