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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 20, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Mavericks54%101111
24Magic46%100105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.4
35.1
29.0
11
85%
1
9
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
2-3
4-7
67%
50%
2-3
67%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.2
34.6
35.5
15
69%
3
4
0
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
5-8
4-8
63%
47%
1-2
50%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 34.7
33.0
26.9
20
63%
10
4
3
1
0
1
3
7
0-0
-
10-16
4-7
63%
50%
0-0
-
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 34.6
31.7
33.1
12
47%
7
4
0
1
3
1
1
6
3-4
75%
3-9
5-11
33%
48%
1-2
50%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 30.7
22.7
17.4
13
51%
8
0
1
0
1
1
1
7
3-4
75%
5-11
4-8
45%
49%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 36.0
29.3
24.3
15
59%
2
6
1
1
3
0
0
2
4-4
100%
1-6
2-5
17%
46%
3-5
60%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 33.9
23.1
26.6
14
54%
6
0
2
1
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
7-13
4-8
54%
50%
0-0
-
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.5
17.6
11.4
7
58%
4
1
2
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
47%
1-3
33%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 37.6
12.9
12.9
4
33%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-6
1-3
33%
41%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 32.1
8.0
0
1-1
44%
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.3
3.8
0
0-1
44%
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 28.0
3.4
0
0-1
50%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.3
3.3
0
1-1
58%
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 21.7
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.2
40.6
35.3
14
59%
11
3
1
1
1
3
2
9
2-2
100%
6-11
6-11
55%
51%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.3
38.8
36.2
16
51%
6
3
0
1
0
1
0
6
5-6
83%
4-11
5-11
36%
51%
1-2
50%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 30.9
37.9
35.3
20
56%
6
5
0
1
0
3
2
4
2-2
100%
3-8
4-8
38%
47%
4-9
44%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 27.1
34.9
21.1
24
64%
6
6
2
1
1
2
0
6
4-6
67%
10-16
4-9
63%
46%
0-0
-
DeQuan Jones
F · 6'8" 221 · 22.6
13.1
19.4
3
150%
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
49%
1-1
100%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 28.6
31.6
29.2
18
65%
4
4
0
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
5-7
2-4
71%
49%
2-6
33%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 25.9
16.4
16.1
1
57%
1
3
1
0
1
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.7
14.5
4.7
6
75%
4
0
1
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-3
0-1
100%
51%
0-1
0%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 23.9
12.2
15.1
3
38%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
47%
1-2
50%
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.1
16.6
0
4-7
51%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 33.8
5.1
0
0-1
45%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.5
4.8
0
1-1
41%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 22.8
3.7
0
0-1
49%
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 27.8
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.