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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 21, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Pacers41%8682
7Grizzlies59%9081
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.7
42.5
37.1
12
46%
10
8
2
2
0
0
1
9
0-0
-
3-9
5-10
33%
46%
2-4
50%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.4
35.9
31.2
14
44%
2
3
3
1
5
3
1
1
0-0
-
7-15
6-13
47%
47%
0-1
0%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 22.4
35.2
29.8
8
51%
3
1
1
1
1
2
0
3
1-2
50%
2-3
3-5
67%
47%
1-4
25%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 26.7
32.6
33.2
13
63%
4
4
1
1
0
8
0
4
2-3
67%
4-7
3-7
57%
47%
1-2
50%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 26.1
32.6
24.5
10
63%
5
2
1
0
4
2
1
4
2-2
100%
4-7
4-8
57%
45%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 25.2
15.4
18.6
6
87%
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-1
0%
0-0
1-2
-
40%
2-3
67%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 26.2
15.4
14.8
4
41%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-2
0%
2-4
2-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 27.2
12.1
16.7
9
83%
8
0
0
0
0
2
5
3
1-1
100%
4-5
2-5
80%
41%
0-0
-
Orlando Johnson
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.9
11.8
9.8
6
150%
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
40%
2-2
100%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 27.0
6.5
13.2
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.7
6.0
0
1-2
46%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.3
3.2
0
0-0
41%
Ben Hansbrough
G · 6'3" 203 · 25.1
2.2
0
0-0
39%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 29.8
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 24.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.4
40.0
36.0
14
32%
8
3
1
1
0
1
3
5
0-0
-
7-19
6-12
37%
47%
0-3
0%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.5
37.1
27.0
13
42%
7
1
1
1
0
1
2
5
3-3
100%
5-14
5-10
36%
49%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.3
33.2
35.5
13
54%
0
2
3
2
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
5-8
3-8
63%
45%
1-4
25%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.0
31.4
30.6
6
61%
5
2
1
1
1
2
2
3
2-2
100%
2-4
5-9
50%
50%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 31.0
25.5
31.8
6
38%
8
1
3
2
0
1
5
3
0-0
-
3-8
4-8
38%
47%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 25.1
25.6
16.2
17
94%
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
4-6
1-2
67%
42%
3-3
100%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.4
19.7
16.8
4
67%
4
5
0
0
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
43%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.8
16.6
21.0
4
29%
1
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-7
3-7
29%
49%
0-0
-
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 25.5
10.8
14.8
4
41%
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
46%
0-0
-
Josh Selby
G · 6'2" 183 · 21.8
3.3
0
0-1
41%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 27.7
3.0
0
0-1
49%
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 19.8
2.8
0
0-1
43%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.