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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 21, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Rockets74%108100
30Bobcats26%9994
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.4
41.5
37.5
29
50%
7
7
2
2
0
4
2
5
19-21
90%
5-15
6-11
33%
53%
0-5
0%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.2
36.3
34.9
14
79%
7
5
1
1
1
0
1
6
2-2
100%
3-5
4-7
60%
54%
2-3
67%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.6
30.4
24.8
6
48%
8
0
1
1
0
3
1
7
2-5
40%
2-4
3-6
50%
55%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.4
24.2
32.3
4
34%
2
3
1
2
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
1-5
4-7
20%
50%
0-0
-
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.9
8.4
20.5
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
3-5
0%
52%
0-1
0%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.4
33.0
14.7
21
72%
8
2
1
0
2
0
1
7
4-6
67%
4-5
1-3
80%
51%
3-7
43%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 30.4
24.8
27.1
16
54%
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
3-6
1-3
50%
47%
3-8
38%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 24.5
23.8
13.6
10
68%
3
2
0
1
0
2
2
1
2-3
67%
1-1
1-3
100%
46%
2-5
40%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 24.2
17.6
1.5
0
0%
5
0
1
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
53%
0-0
-
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 22.0
18.1
0
2-4
59%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.9
10.1
0
1-2
45%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 23.8
1.2
0
0-0
45%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 22.3
1.1
0
0-0
52%
Royce White
F · 6'8" 260 · 21.8
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 21.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 22.7
39.2
32.6
35
74%
3
5
1
1
0
4
2
1
5-6
83%
6-14
5-11
43%
45%
6-7
86%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 20.4
35.7
19.8
2
20%
9
0
1
0
7
1
4
5
0-0
-
1-5
2-3
20%
47%
0-0
-
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.1
26.3
27.0
8
34%
4
1
1
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
3-9
4-9
33%
47%
0-2
0%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 19.3
24.3
22.0
9
57%
4
1
0
1
1
0
0
4
1-2
50%
4-7
3-7
57%
49%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 30.5
24.3
26.2
10
51%
3
2
0
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
4-8
4-8
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.8
29.5
27.0
19
51%
8
5
0
1
0
1
0
8
7-8
88%
6-12
4-9
50%
44%
0-3
0%
Jeffery Taylor
· 6'7" 225 · 23.7
16.5
14.2
7
60%
1
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
3-5
1-2
60%
46%
0-0
-
Jeff Adrien
· 6'7" 245 · 26.9
14.4
17.2
2
26%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-3
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 33.2
12.1
23.5
2
100%
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
51%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.4
9.4
4.1
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.8
8.5
17.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
46%
0-2
0%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 31.0
3.5
0
0-0
42%
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 26.4
3.0
0
0-1
52%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.