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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 21, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Timberwolves41%9296
18Hawks59%95104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.7
37.3
27.0
17
57%
4
0
1
1
1
1
2
2
2-2
100%
6-10
3-7
60%
46%
1-4
25%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.9
35.5
35.6
13
61%
6
5
2
1
0
6
2
4
6-6
100%
2-5
4-8
40%
52%
1-3
33%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.9
34.3
31.8
12
41%
3
2
3
1
0
3
2
1
2-4
50%
5-12
4-8
42%
48%
0-1
0%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 27.3
28.3
17.3
11
52%
5
1
0
1
2
0
1
4
5-8
63%
3-7
2-4
43%
47%
0-0
-
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 22.3
25.1
26.1
5
43%
2
6
2
1
0
2
0
2
3-4
75%
1-4
2-5
25%
38%
0-0
-
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.8
25.6
20.3
13
60%
4
2
2
1
2
1
1
3
1-2
50%
6-10
3-6
60%
47%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.6
22.9
21.3
14
64%
3
7
2
0
0
3
2
1
0-0
-
4-6
3-6
67%
44%
2-5
40%
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.7
16.3
10.0
7
117%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
46%
1-1
100%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'11" 210 · 27.5
9.7
6.1
4
100%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 30.1
5.0
8.1
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 27.1
17.6
0
4-7
52%
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 24.1
16.2
0
1-3
44%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 24.4
9.0
0
1-3
47%
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 24.7
Malcolm Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.7
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 28.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.6
37.6
28.1
28
61%
10
2
2
1
3
4
1
9
4-7
57%
12-20
5-10
60%
54%
0-0
-
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 24.6
34.5
34.6
9
51%
0
10
1
1
0
5
0
0
4-4
100%
1-4
5-9
25%
49%
1-3
33%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 27.1
33.5
31.6
10
56%
4
6
2
1
2
5
0
4
0-2
0%
5-8
5-11
63%
48%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 28.9
15.7
26.6
2
100%
0
3
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
3-6
100%
50%
0-0
-
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 21.9
13.5
16.3
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 31.8
35.2
32.0
14
79%
3
2
2
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
2-2
1-3
100%
45%
3-6
50%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 33.3
25.0
12.8
16
73%
1
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
1-2
33%
40%
4-5
80%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 24.5
21.8
6.3
11
56%
7
1
2
0
0
2
3
4
1-4
25%
5-8
1-2
63%
47%
0-0
-
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.6
15.4
8.5
6
150%
2
2
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
2-2
100%
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 28.8
7.7
10.9
8
103%
3
1
1
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
3-3
2-4
100%
51%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 29.9
23.6
1
2-4
49%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 31.8
6.3
0
0-0
39%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 27.0
4.7
0
1-1
43%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.2
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.