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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 21, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Lakers38%9783
10Bulls62%10195
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 34.4
42.0
39.2
16
34%
4
5
0
1
0
3
0
4
2-3
67%
7-16
7-15
44%
47%
0-6
0%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 33.2
38.6
29.5
12
47%
8
1
4
1
3
1
3
5
3-4
75%
3-7
2-5
43%
45%
1-4
25%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 39.0
35.8
33.1
18
70%
4
6
0
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
5-9
3-6
56%
52%
2-3
67%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 25.0
34.6
28.5
12
46%
8
0
0
1
2
0
4
4
0-0
-
6-12
3-7
50%
42%
0-1
0%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 27.1
29.8
25.2
8
47%
9
0
0
1
2
4
3
6
4-8
50%
2-5
4-7
40%
56%
0-0
-
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 32.5
25.5
25.3
15
48%
12
2
0
0
2
2
3
9
3-4
75%
6-13
3-7
46%
48%
0-1
0%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 36.6
15.4
25.9
2
53%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
0-0
2-4
-
45%
0-1
0%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.4
12.2
13.4
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.4
3.1
4.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 22.1
2.9
8.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Robert Sacre
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.6
7.1
0
1-2
45%
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 23.2
3.2
0
0-1
43%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 32.9
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 25.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 23.4
43.5
24.9
10
46%
8
4
1
1
0
0
3
5
2-2
100%
4-9
3-5
44%
51%
0-1
0%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 27.9
35.2
32.3
6
31%
13
3
2
1
6
0
5
8
2-4
50%
2-8
5-9
25%
51%
0-0
-
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 31.2
34.8
36.5
14
41%
6
2
0
1
2
2
4
2
0-0
-
7-17
8-16
41%
52%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 32.1
33.5
25.6
22
93%
7
8
1
1
0
1
0
7
1-2
50%
6-7
1-3
86%
46%
3-4
75%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 34.9
25.3
21.4
13
34%
1
4
2
0
1
1
0
1
1-2
50%
6-15
4-8
40%
47%
0-3
0%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 26.8
22.7
24.1
15
84%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
45%
3-3
100%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 28.6
14.5
20.9
11
79%
0
2
3
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
48%
3-4
75%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.6
13.3
21.4
4
25%
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-8
3-6
25%
50%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 35.4
12.8
2.4
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.7
4.5
2.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
42%
0-2
0%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.8
23.9
1
3-7
48%
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 19.9
1.4
0
0-0
45%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.2
0.7
0
0-0
40%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.