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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 22, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2776ers30%93102
15Bucks70%100110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 24.2
44.6
37.9
23
55%
6
7
1
1
1
2
0
6
3-4
75%
4-12
5-11
33%
44%
4-7
57%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 22.6
39.7
37.0
9
33%
6
12
0
2
1
8
3
3
3-4
75%
3-11
7-14
27%
46%
0-1
0%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.6
37.9
37.7
11
33%
9
2
2
2
0
2
4
5
1-2
50%
5-16
7-14
31%
51%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 31.1
19.2
11.9
8
133%
4
0
1
0
0
0
3
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
40%
2-2
100%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 24.0
11.7
19.8
4
33%
5
0
0
0
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
48%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 24.7
36.3
29.2
21
64%
12
2
0
0
0
1
6
6
1-1
100%
10-15
5-9
67%
48%
0-1
0%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 27.6
32.5
25.1
20
59%
3
3
0
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
6-11
3-6
55%
44%
2-5
40%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 33.0
13.9
7.9
6
50%
1
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
1-2
50%
40%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 27.1
4.2
15.8
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 32.0
13.0
0
1-2
46%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 30.9
3.6
0
0-1
50%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 22.8
3.4
0
0-1
42%
Arnett Moultrie
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.2
1.4
0
0-0
47%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 25.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.2
43.5
32.2
18
71%
5
10
2
1
0
2
0
5
4-6
67%
7-9
6-12
78%
49%
0-1
0%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 23.3
39.0
32.3
25
64%
1
7
3
2
0
4
1
0
6-6
100%
5-11
4-10
45%
47%
3-6
50%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.7
36.4
23.5
27
69%
16
2
3
1
1
0
7
9
5-6
83%
8-13
3-6
62%
50%
2-4
50%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.2
32.8
24.9
9
41%
5
1
0
1
2
2
3
2
1-2
50%
4-10
4-7
40%
52%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.4
20.3
28.4
5
32%
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
1-4
25%
2-6
4-7
33%
49%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 32.4
27.7
27.3
11
66%
3
0
1
1
1
1
0
3
1-3
33%
2-3
2-4
67%
51%
2-4
50%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 25.7
15.2
14.5
4
52%
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-2
0%
2-3
1-3
67%
45%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.6
13.4
17.1
2
35%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
53%
0-1
0%
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 22.1
11.6
13.9
9
57%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
4-7
3-5
57%
50%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 32.7
7.1
0
1-2
52%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 31.3
2.7
0
0-1
47%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.5
2.2
0
0-1
51%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 33.3
1.7
0
0-0
50%
Doron Lamb
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.2
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 32.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.