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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 23, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Hawks69%100104
30Bobcats31%9392
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 31.9
41.1
32.5
21
95%
4
2
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
47%
5-6
83%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 27.1
37.5
32.3
30
60%
13
8
0
1
3
7
5
8
0-2
0%
15-22
5-11
68%
50%
0-2
0%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 24.6
33.5
34.2
10
51%
2
6
2
2
0
4
0
2
1-2
50%
3-7
4-9
43%
50%
1-2
50%
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 28.8
31.7
9.8
12
44%
15
3
3
0
1
1
6
9
4-6
67%
4-11
2-3
36%
53%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 31.8
20.8
5.2
3
19%
3
3
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
42%
1-6
17%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 33.3
22.8
23.9
8
67%
0
3
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
41%
2-4
50%
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 21.9
19.4
15.2
8
57%
1
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
48%
2-4
50%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 27.0
16.3
3.4
4
33%
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
0-1
33%
45%
0-0
-
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 24.5
13.4
12.0
5
64%
5
1
0
0
0
1
2
3
1-2
50%
2-3
2-4
67%
51%
0-0
-
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.6
3.4
11.0
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
50%
1-1
100%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.6
31.7
1
6-12
55%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 29.0
22.7
1
2-5
51%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 29.9
16.4
1
1-2
50%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.2
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 22.7
33.3
34.3
11
45%
3
5
1
2
0
5
1
2
2-3
67%
3-8
5-11
38%
45%
1-3
33%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 20.4
26.8
25.4
2
17%
10
0
2
0
4
2
3
7
0-2
0%
1-5
2-4
20%
46%
0-0
-
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 19.3
24.7
22.6
8
58%
3
1
2
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
3-6
3-7
50%
48%
0-0
-
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.1
15.4
26.4
6
44%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-5
4-9
40%
46%
0-1
0%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 30.5
14.1
24.9
4
41%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-4
4-8
25%
46%
0-0
-
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.8
30.1
27.4
27
72%
3
5
2
1
0
1
0
3
6-6
100%
9-14
4-9
64%
44%
1-2
50%
Jeff Adrien
· 6'7" 245 · 27.0
26.0
15.8
6
39%
4
1
1
0
2
0
1
3
4-4
100%
1-6
2-3
17%
45%
0-0
-
Jeffery Taylor
· 6'7" 225 · 23.7
24.4
15.0
9
51%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
45%
1-5
20%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.8
23.4
14.2
15
63%
6
1
1
0
2
4
0
6
0-0
-
3-8
2-5
38%
46%
3-4
75%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 33.2
21.6
18.8
4
43%
9
1
1
0
0
2
6
3
4-6
67%
0-2
2-3
0%
51%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.4
6.5
0
1-2
42%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 31.0
3.0
0
0-0
41%
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 26.4
2.7
0
0-0
51%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.