Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	19	Raptors	24%	93	116	119.6	97	87.2
	2	Heat	76%	102	123	124.2	99	90.3

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Landry Fields F · 6'7" 215 · 25	34.9	7	58%	5	4	1	0	0	3	1	4	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Amir Johnson C · 6'9" 240 · 26	32.0	15	75%	6	2	1	1	2	6	2	4	3-3	100%	6-9	67%	0-0	-
DeMar DeRozan G · 6'6" 220 · 23	31.6	12	50%	2	7	1	0	1	4	0	2	2-4	50%	5-9	56%	0-1	0%
Jose Calderon G · 6'3" 200 · 31	30.8	17	94%	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	5-6	83%
Ed Davis F · 6'10" 245 · 24	24.3	13	65%	5	2	0	0	1	4	2	3	3-4	75%	5-8	63%	0-0	-

Alan Anderson F-G · 6'6" 220 · 30	35.8	20	56%	1	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	4-12	33%
Kyle Lowry G · 6'0" 196 · 27	28.0	13	54%	4	1	1	0	2	5	1	3	3-3	100%	2-7	29%	2-4	50%
Terrence Ross G-F · 6'7" 206 · 22	25.6	16	50%	2	2	2	0	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	5-9	56%	2-7	29%
John Lucas III G · 5'11" 166 · 30	10.8	3	75%	1	3	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Aaron Gray C · 7'0" 270 · 28	7.0	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Quincy Acy F · 6'7" 240 · 22	4.3	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Linas Kleiza F · 6'8" 234 · 28	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Mickael Pietrus F · 6'6" 215 · 31	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Andrea Bargnani #7 · C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	116	60%	28	26	8	1	8	0	7	21	14-18	78%	30-57	53%	14-31	45%

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19 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Landry Fields F · 6'7" 215 · 25	34.9	7	58%	5	4	1	0	0	3	1	4	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Amir Johnson C · 6'9" 240 · 26	32.0	15	75%	6	2	1	1	2	6	2	4	3-3	100%	6-9	67%	0-0	-
DeMar DeRozan G · 6'6" 220 · 23	31.6	12	50%	2	7	1	0	1	4	0	2	2-4	50%	5-9	56%	0-1	0%
Jose Calderon G · 6'3" 200 · 31	30.8	17	94%	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	5-6	83%
Ed Davis F · 6'10" 245 · 24	24.3	13	65%	5	2	0	0	1	4	2	3	3-4	75%	5-8	63%	0-0	-

Alan Anderson F-G · 6'6" 220 · 30	35.8	20	56%	1	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	4-12	33%
Kyle Lowry G · 6'0" 196 · 27	28.0	13	54%	4	1	1	0	2	5	1	3	3-3	100%	2-7	29%	2-4	50%
Terrence Ross G-F · 6'7" 206 · 22	25.6	16	50%	2	2	2	0	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	5-9	56%	2-7	29%
John Lucas III G · 5'11" 166 · 30	10.8	3	75%	1	3	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Aaron Gray C · 7'0" 270 · 28	7.0	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Quincy Acy F · 6'7" 240 · 22	4.3	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Linas Kleiza F · 6'8" 234 · 28	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Mickael Pietrus F · 6'6" 215 · 31	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Andrea Bargnani #7 · C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	116	60%	28	26	8	1	8	0	7	21	14-18	78%	30-57	53%	14-31	45%

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2 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
LeBron James F · 6'9" 250 · 28	44.8	31	60%	10	11	0	0	3	1	1	9	6-7	86%	11-18	61%	1-5	20%
Chris Bosh C · 6'11" 235 · 29	40.6	12	46%	12	1	0	1	1	2	4	8	6-12	50%	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 31	40.0	35	67%	5	7	0	1	3	4	2	3	9-15	60%	13-18	72%	0-1	0%
Mario Chalmers G · 6'2" 190 · 27	33.5	14	64%	1	3	2	0	2	6	1	0	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	3-6	50%
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 33	18.8	2	100%	10	1	1	1	1	3	3	7	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-

Ray Allen G · 6'5" 205 · 38	29.4	18	90%	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	4-7	57%
Shane Battier F · 6'8" 220 · 34	26.3	3	50%	7	1	1	0	1	2	3	4	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Norris Cole G · 6'2" 175 · 24	16.1	6	75%	1	1	1	0	0	3	1	0	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Joel Anthony C · 6'9" 245 · 30	10.2	2	50%	3	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Mike Miller G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33	5.3	0	0%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-1	0%
Rashard Lewis F · 6'10" 235 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
James Jones G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Dexter Pittman #45 · C · 6'11" 285 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Jarvis Varnado #24 · F-C · 6'9" 230 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	123	59%	53	26	5	3	13	0	16	37	24-38	63%	36-60	60%	9-22	41%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	MIA

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

TOR

1.20 59.8%

MIA

1.17 58.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

TOR

17

26

65%

MIA

19

28

68%

Midrange

TOR

13

31

42%

MIA

17

32

53%

3PT | Effective 3PT

TOR

14

21.0

31

45%

68%

MIA

9

13.5

22

41%

61%

Free Throws

TOR

14

18

78%

MIA

24

38

63%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Anderson	20	56%	10.0 / 18
J. Calderon	17	94%	8.5 / 9
T. Ross	16	50%	8.0 / 16
A. Johnson	15	75%	7.5 / 10
E. Davis	13	65%	6.5 / 10
K. Lowry	13	54%	6.5 / 12
D. DeRozan	12	50%	6.0 / 12
L. Fields	7	58%	3.5 / 6
J. Lucas III	3	75%	1.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Wade	35	67%	17.5 / 26
L. James	31	60%	15.5 / 26
R. Allen	18	90%	9.0 / 10
M. Chalmers	14	64%	7.0 / 11
C. Bosh	12	46%	6.0 / 13
N. Cole	6	75%	3.0 / 4
S. Battier	3	50%	1.5 / 3
U. Haslem	2	100%	1.0 / 1
J. Anthony	2	50%	1.0 / 2
M. Miller	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	16 105.6 1 112.1	TOR 119.6 MIA 124.2 +4.7
Pace	24 90.7 23 90.9	TOR 87.2 MIA 90.3 +3.0
Avg. Poss. Time	8 16.2 10 16.0	TOR 16.5 MIA 15.9 −0.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	18 48.8% 1 55.2%	TOR 58.0% MIA 60.4% +2.4%
TO %	6 14.4% 7 14.5%	TOR 8.6% −3.8% MIA 12.4%
ORB %	19 25.6% 27 22.2%	TOR 15.9% MIA 43.2% +27.3%
FTrt	13 27.4 8 29.7	TOR 20.5 MIA 46.3 +25.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	19 59.2% 13 60.0%	TOR 59.1% +1.3% MIA 57.8%
STL %	21 7.9% 4 9.5%	TOR 8.2% +3.1% MIA 5.1%
BLK %	16 7.9% 9 9.1%	TOR 1.7% MIA 5.3% +3.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	16 51.9% 1 57.0%	TOR 59.8% +1.2% MIA 58.6%
Rim FG%	7 59.3% 1 65.9%	TOR 65.4% MIA 67.9% +2.5%
Mid FG%	16 39.2% 4 41.9%	TOR 41.9% MIA 53.1% +11.2%
3P %	26 34.3% 2 39.6%	TOR 45.2% +4.3% MIA 40.9%
FT %	5 78.8% 16 75.4%	TOR 77.8% +14.6% MIA 63.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	27 32.6% 21 34.8%	TOR 29.5% MIA 34.1% +4.6%
Mid Att. %	21 42.5% 10 36.7%	TOR 35.2% −3.8% MIA 39.0%
3P Att. %	10 24.9% 5 28.5%	TOR 35.2% +8.4% MIA 26.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.

Game Totals	TOR	MIA
Possessions	97	99
Possession Minutes	26.7	26.3
Points	116	123
Rebounds	28	53
Assists	26	26
Steals	8	5
Blocks	1	3
Turnovers (Team)	8 (1)	13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (1)	16 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	21 (3)	37 (0)
Field Goals	44-88	45-82
At-the-Rim FG	17-26	19-28
Midrange FG	13-31	17-32
2-Point FG	30-57	36-60
3-Point FG	14-31	9-22
Free Throws	14-18	24-38
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg