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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 23, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Raptors24%93116
2Heat76%102123
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.6
34.9
27.3
7
60%
5
4
1
1
0
0
1
4
1-2
50%
3-5
3-6
60%
49%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 25.7
32.0
30.2
15
73%
6
2
1
1
1
2
2
4
3-3
100%
6-9
4-8
67%
55%
0-0
-
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 23.5
31.6
31.4
12
51%
2
7
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-4
50%
5-9
5-11
56%
45%
0-1
0%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.3
30.8
25.2
17
94%
0
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
48%
5-6
83%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.6
24.3
32.0
13
67%
5
2
0
1
0
1
2
3
3-4
75%
5-8
5-10
63%
53%
0-0
-
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 30.3
35.8
26.2
20
53%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-6
2-6
50%
40%
4-12
33%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 26.8
28.0
22.1
13
53%
4
1
1
1
0
2
1
3
3-3
100%
2-7
2-4
29%
45%
2-4
50%
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 22.0
25.6
17.6
16
50%
2
2
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
5-9
2-4
56%
46%
2-7
29%
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 30.2
10.8
2.9
3
75%
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
39%
1-1
100%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.1
7.0
9.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.3
4.3
9.9
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 28.1
3.9
0
0-1
46%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 31.0
3.5
0
0-0
46%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.2
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 28.1
44.8
36.6
31
59%
10
11
0
2
0
3
1
9
6-7
86%
11-18
8-14
61%
57%
1-5
20%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 28.8
40.6
30.2
12
49%
12
1
0
1
1
1
4
8
6-12
50%
3-7
5-10
43%
53%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 31.0
40.0
32.1
35
68%
5
7
0
1
1
3
2
3
9-15
60%
13-18
6-12
72%
53%
0-1
0%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.7
33.5
25.7
14
64%
1
3
2
1
0
2
1
0
1-2
50%
2-4
1-3
50%
50%
3-6
50%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.6
18.8
18.3
2
100%
10
1
1
0
1
1
3
7
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
48%
0-0
-
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 37.5
29.4
25.2
18
90%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
51%
4-7
57%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 34.4
26.3
14.4
3
50%
7
1
1
0
0
1
3
4
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
48%
1-2
50%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.3
16.1
15.1
6
77%
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
45%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 30.5
10.2
17.2
2
50%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
53%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.9
5.3
9.1
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 33.5
11.5
0
1-2
50%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34.5
6.4
0
1-1
55%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.3
3.6
0
0-0
40%
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 24.9
Jarvis Varnado
F-C · 6'9" 230 · 24.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.