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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 23, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Pistons27%9082
11Bulls73%9885
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 22.6
37.3
31.7
9
31%
8
6
1
1
0
2
3
5
1-3
33%
4-13
6-11
31%
49%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 32.9
34.2
29.8
11
46%
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
4-10
4-8
40%
44%
1-2
50%
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 21.1
34.0
29.7
13
58%
2
7
0
1
1
2
1
1
5-5
100%
4-6
3-7
67%
42%
0-3
0%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.9
31.5
22.9
6
50%
11
1
1
0
2
2
3
8
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
46%
0-0
-
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.7
24.8
31.4
12
81%
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-1
0%
3-5
2-5
60%
45%
2-2
100%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 26.8
25.9
23.1
11
33%
0
4
0
1
0
3
0
0
1-2
50%
5-12
3-6
42%
43%
0-4
0%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 19.5
22.1
21.9
8
67%
7
0
1
1
1
1
4
3
0-0
-
4-6
3-6
67%
53%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.1
16.2
23.7
9
44%
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
3-3
100%
3-8
4-8
38%
44%
0-1
0%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 24.6
8.9
7.3
3
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
40%
1-1
100%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 28.4
5.1
12.2
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 25.9
3.5
0
0-1
48%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 33.2
3.5
0
0-1
43%
Kim English
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.3
3.1
0
0-1
40%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 21.5
Viacheslav Kravtsov
C · 6'11" 254 · 25.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 23.4
46.5
31.0
18
54%
9
4
1
1
1
1
5
4
5-6
83%
5-10
3-6
50%
52%
1-4
25%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 27.9
45.1
33.0
10
43%
18
2
2
1
1
5
5
13
4-8
50%
3-7
4-9
43%
51%
0-1
0%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 32.1
33.9
28.3
0
0%
3
3
1
1
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
2-3
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 31.2
26.5
35.3
16
54%
6
2
0
1
0
1
1
5
2-2
100%
7-14
8-15
50%
52%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 34.9
21.4
22.4
11
62%
1
2
0
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
3-6
4-8
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.6
24.3
18.3
14
76%
4
1
0
0
2
1
3
1
4-5
80%
5-7
3-5
71%
50%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 28.6
21.3
18.3
11
56%
1
7
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 26.8
20.9
23.2
5
46%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 35.4
0.1
6.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-1
0%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.8
18.0
0
2-5
49%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.7
3.3
0
0-0
41%
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 19.9
1.1
0
0-0
47%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.2
0.5
0
0-0
50%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.