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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 23, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Nets53%9691
22Timberwolves47%9583
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 31.6
36.6
37.4
18
56%
3
3
0
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
6-8
5-10
75%
47%
2-8
25%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.6
33.7
36.2
18
63%
6
8
3
1
0
2
0
6
4-5
80%
4-8
4-8
50%
47%
2-4
50%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.5
29.7
23.1
6
44%
3
1
3
1
1
1
2
1
2-2
100%
2-5
2-3
40%
49%
0-1
0%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 24.8
26.0
31.3
22
60%
7
1
0
1
2
2
3
4
2-5
40%
10-16
7-14
63%
50%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 32.7
21.1
22.5
2
100%
5
1
0
1
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
46%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 26.4
21.4
15.7
9
35%
5
0
2
1
1
1
2
3
3-4
75%
3-11
3-6
27%
46%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.0
21.1
18.1
2
20%
8
2
0
0
0
1
4
4
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
48%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.8
20.0
13.1
14
88%
3
2
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-5
1-2
80%
39%
2-3
67%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 32.7
18.1
21.0
0
0%
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-4
0%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 38.2
7.5
6.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 24.0
4.6
7.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 27.4
5.2
0
0-1
47%
Tyshawn Taylor
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.8
Tornike Shengelia
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.9
40.6
34.6
15
66%
6
4
1
1
0
2
1
5
2-3
67%
5-7
4-7
71%
53%
1-3
33%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.9
30.6
32.1
13
43%
4
3
0
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
5-11
4-8
45%
49%
1-4
25%
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 22.3
24.1
25.2
5
43%
1
6
3
1
0
4
0
1
1-2
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
39%
0-1
0%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.7
24.0
30.6
9
39%
6
0
0
1
0
0
2
4
1-1
100%
4-11
4-8
36%
48%
0-0
-
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 27.3
17.1
21.4
2
20%
4
1
0
1
2
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
49%
0-0
-
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.8
30.9
22.8
14
58%
3
0
2
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
7-11
3-7
64%
48%
0-1
0%
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.7
24.8
13.2
2
25%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'11" 210 · 27.5
24.0
7.9
12
60%
6
2
0
0
3
0
1
5
0-0
-
6-10
1-2
60%
51%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.6
23.9
21.7
11
50%
4
8
1
0
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
46%
1-4
25%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 27.1
12.9
0
3-5
53%
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 24.1
11.9
0
1-2
46%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 24.4
8.9
0
1-3
48%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 30.1
6.7
0
1-2
45%
Malcolm Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.7
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 24.7
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 28.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.