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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 23, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Suns48%101106
28Kings52%10296
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 28.9
31.7
33.2
12
87%
4
0
1
1
2
1
2
2
2-2
100%
5-6
5-10
83%
55%
0-0
-
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.7
30.7
29.4
12
47%
0
11
1
1
1
1
0
0
2-2
100%
5-11
4-7
45%
53%
0-1
0%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 32.7
29.5
28.9
21
71%
7
4
1
1
0
4
1
6
3-4
75%
9-13
6-12
69%
50%
0-0
-
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 27.7
22.6
24.5
4
33%
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
49%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 27.5
22.0
26.2
8
39%
5
3
1
1
0
2
2
3
2-3
67%
3-6
2-5
50%
54%
0-3
0%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 27.2
28.9
28.7
12
58%
2
3
4
1
0
0
1
1
3-3
100%
3-8
4-9
38%
48%
1-1
100%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 23.4
25.9
16.5
10
50%
2
3
2
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
2-6
33%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.0
22.0
15.1
19
60%
6
1
1
0
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
7-14
3-6
50%
46%
1-1
100%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 27.6
17.3
18.0
8
57%
0
4
2
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
2-5
40%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 25.5
7.4
4.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-2
0%
Luke Zeller
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 25.8
2.0
0.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
53%
0-0
-
Kendall Marshall
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.4
1.2
0
0-0
47%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 29.7
Diante Garrett
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.2
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 34.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.4
37.1
37.0
15
42%
15
5
2
2
1
6
5
10
0-0
-
6-17
8-16
35%
47%
1-1
100%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.3
33.4
30.7
16
51%
6
4
2
1
1
3
3
3
3-4
75%
5-13
5-10
38%
49%
1-1
100%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 33.1
31.1
29.1
6
65%
2
0
0
1
2
0
0
2
2-6
33%
2-2
2-5
100%
47%
0-0
-
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 24.0
28.9
31.3
6
28%
0
7
0
1
0
3
0
0
2-2
100%
2-7
4-7
29%
51%
0-3
0%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 26.5
10.0
22.1
4
33%
3
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
2-6
4-7
33%
53%
0-0
-
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 21.9
25.9
10.1
12
61%
14
2
1
0
0
3
5
9
0-2
0%
6-9
1-3
67%
48%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.9
21.6
12.2
14
68%
6
1
1
1
4
4
3
3
2-3
67%
6-9
2-4
67%
47%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 25.6
15.1
16.5
8
63%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
3-3
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
49%
1-4
25%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 28.0
14.8
10.9
8
84%
0
1
0
0
1
4
0
0
3-4
75%
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
1-1
100%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 29.6
10.9
8.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 28.3
7.4
10.1
5
125%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
43%
1-1
100%
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.9
3.9
7.6
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 31.1
12.4
0
1-2
48%
Tyler Honeycutt
F · 6'8" 188 · 22.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.