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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 24, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Raptors45%9997
24Magic55%10095
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 23.5
43.5
30.0
22
62%
4
7
0
1
1
1
0
4
2-2
100%
10-17
5-10
59%
47%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 25.7
36.8
29.6
21
52%
10
0
1
1
3
2
3
7
3-5
60%
9-18
4-8
50%
57%
0-0
-
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.6
30.8
27.3
12
47%
8
1
0
1
3
1
2
6
2-4
50%
5-11
5-9
45%
54%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.3
26.6
26.4
10
67%
1
6
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
3-3
3-5
100%
50%
1-4
25%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.6
22.6
28.9
4
41%
5
2
1
1
0
1
2
3
2-2
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
51%
0-1
0%
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 30.3
28.1
28.5
13
58%
4
3
0
1
0
0
0
4
5-5
100%
4-5
3-6
80%
42%
0-4
0%
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 22.0
23.5
20.0
10
63%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
2-4
50%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 26.8
21.4
23.4
3
50%
4
6
0
1
0
4
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
46%
1-3
33%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.1
6.7
8.2
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
51%
0-0
-
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.3
7.2
0
1-2
48%
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 30.2
6.4
0
1-2
41%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 28.1
4.1
0
0-1
47%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 31.0
3.7
0
0-0
47%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.2
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 31.0
42.6
34.5
14
50%
7
11
3
1
0
3
1
6
1-2
50%
2-6
4-8
33%
48%
3-7
43%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.3
41.5
36.2
16
47%
4
2
0
1
0
4
0
4
2-2
100%
4-12
5-10
33%
51%
2-4
50%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 28.6
39.9
32.5
14
55%
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
4-4
100%
2-8
2-5
25%
51%
2-3
67%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 27.1
34.4
25.0
15
58%
7
2
1
1
1
1
2
5
1-2
50%
7-12
5-11
58%
47%
0-0
-
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.3
29.6
32.8
19
60%
14
1
0
1
3
0
4
10
3-4
75%
8-14
5-10
57%
52%
0-0
-
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 23.9
22.9
16.1
11
57%
3
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
6-6
100%
1-4
2-3
25%
47%
1-3
33%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.7
15.6
11.1
2
50%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
53%
0-1
0%
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 27.8
7.5
8.0
4
67%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
54%
0-0
-
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.1
4.2
11.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
52%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.6
1.8
5.2
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 25.9
13.3
0
1-2
52%
DeQuan Jones
F · 6'8" 221 · 22.6
11.3
0
1-2
50%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 22.8
3.1
0
0-1
51%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 33.9
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.