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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 26, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Timberwolves59%98101
30Bobcats41%95102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.0
40.6
30.3
22
76%
7
7
1
1
1
3
0
7
1-1
100%
6-9
4-8
67%
50%
3-5
60%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.9
32.6
32.8
10
58%
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
2
6-6
100%
2-5
4-7
40%
54%
0-1
0%
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 22.3
29.1
26.9
14
60%
1
8
5
2
0
2
1
0
5-6
83%
3-7
2-5
43%
40%
1-2
50%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 27.3
23.8
18.9
11
95%
7
0
0
1
2
2
2
5
3-4
75%
4-4
2-4
100%
49%
0-0
-
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.7
18.1
28.5
5
28%
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-2
0%
1-6
4-8
17%
48%
1-2
50%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.6
32.4
21.5
19
52%
5
4
0
0
0
2
0
5
1-1
100%
3-11
3-6
27%
47%
4-7
57%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.8
30.3
27.4
10
42%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-2
0%
5-11
4-8
45%
49%
0-0
-
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.7
20.6
20.9
4
45%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
1-1
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
50%
1-3
33%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'11" 210 · 27.5
12.5
16.8
6
100%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
53%
0-0
-
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 27.1
9.5
0
2-4
54%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 24.4
9.2
0
1-3
49%
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 24.1
9.1
0
1-2
47%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 30.1
4.2
0
0-1
46%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 28.5
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 24.7
Malcolm Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 22.7
36.8
33.3
25
64%
8
8
3
1
2
4
0
8
6-6
100%
5-12
5-10
42%
45%
3-5
60%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 20.4
32.2
25.5
10
87%
13
1
0
0
2
1
5
8
2-4
50%
4-4
2-4
100%
46%
0-0
-
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.1
31.9
22.0
15
50%
4
2
0
1
1
0
1
3
2-2
100%
5-13
3-7
38%
47%
1-1
100%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 19.3
15.2
23.2
2
50%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
3-7
50%
49%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 30.6
3.8
20.4
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
46%
0-0
-
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.8
34.0
28.0
23
75%
3
4
0
1
0
6
1
2
9-10
90%
7-10
4-10
70%
45%
0-1
0%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.8
29.5
17.6
18
61%
2
2
1
0
2
3
1
1
4-4
100%
7-11
3-6
64%
46%
0-2
0%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.4
18.1
4.9
2
17%
6
2
1
0
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
1-6
1-2
17%
43%
0-0
-
Jeff Adrien
· 6'7" 245 · 27.0
13.8
19.3
2
100%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
45%
0-0
-
Jeffery Taylor
· 6'7" 225 · 23.7
13.1
18.5
3
75%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
46%
1-2
50%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 33.2
11.9
19.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
3
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
51%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 31.0
2.7
0
0-0
41%
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 26.4
2.5
0
0-0
50%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.