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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 26, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Suns23%9599
3Spurs77%105108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 27.7
36.6
25.4
11
55%
10
4
0
1
0
1
2
8
5-7
71%
3-7
2-5
43%
45%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 27.5
34.5
24.8
23
96%
5
5
1
1
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
7-7
2-4
100%
51%
3-5
60%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.7
33.6
31.0
9
45%
1
10
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
4-7
43%
49%
1-3
33%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 32.7
33.3
30.6
7
32%
4
4
2
1
0
2
0
4
1-2
50%
3-10
6-12
30%
48%
0-0
-
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 28.9
29.7
33.0
9
36%
12
1
1
1
0
3
5
7
1-1
100%
4-12
5-9
33%
52%
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.0
22.8
20.2
25
74%
6
2
0
0
0
2
1
5
2-2
100%
10-15
3-8
67%
43%
1-1
100%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 23.4
20.6
22.8
8
45%
4
0
0
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
3-8
3-6
38%
43%
0-0
-
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 27.6
14.9
15.7
3
50%
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
41%
1-3
33%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 27.2
14.0
23.6
4
67%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
3-7
67%
45%
0-0
-
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 34.3
4.9
0
1-2
45%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 25.5
4.8
0
0-1
40%
Kendall Marshall
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.4
1.0
0
0-0
38%
Luke Zeller
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 25.8
1.0
0
0-0
45%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 29.7
Diante Garrett
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.7
33.4
32.3
31
79%
4
7
2
1
0
3
1
3
5-6
83%
13-17
7-14
76%
53%
0-0
-
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 28.1
30.1
29.2
13
51%
8
1
0
1
0
0
4
4
3-4
75%
5-11
5-8
45%
61%
0-0
-
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 21.6
29.6
29.5
7
50%
6
2
1
2
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
56%
1-2
50%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 30.8
26.0
25.5
11
79%
3
0
1
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
56%
1-1
100%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.6
16.4
26.8
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
50%
0-3
0%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.8
26.7
17.2
10
68%
6
2
0
1
1
0
0
6
3-3
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
46%
1-3
33%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 35.5
21.9
15.0
20
75%
3
2
3
1
0
2
0
3
8-10
80%
3-4
2-3
75%
52%
2-5
40%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 32.8
20.5
16.2
7
50%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
51%
1-4
25%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 23.8
17.9
12.4
4
40%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
53%
0-0
-
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.3
13.3
25.3
3
21%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
48%
1-5
20%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.5
4.3
3.5
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
50%
0-1
0%
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.6
10.7
0
1-2
52%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 26.1
2.5
0
0-1
50%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.4
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 36.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.