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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 26, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Kings17%9793
6Nuggets83%110121
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 33.1
23.0
28.6
8
80%
1
3
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
45%
2-3
67%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.5
21.9
34.4
3
22%
2
4
4
1
1
2
0
2
1-2
50%
1-6
7-15
17%
44%
0-0
-
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.4
21.7
31.3
15
70%
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
3-6
50%
3-6
5-10
50%
46%
2-2
100%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 24.0
20.9
26.5
10
50%
3
3
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
5-9
3-6
56%
48%
0-1
0%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 26.5
20.3
23.8
7
51%
5
0
1
0
0
2
2
3
1-2
50%
3-6
4-8
50%
50%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 28.0
27.1
8.6
16
60%
2
2
1
0
0
2
0
2
1-1
100%
6-10
1-2
60%
47%
1-3
33%
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 21.9
22.6
16.6
10
44%
10
1
0
1
0
2
3
7
4-10
40%
3-7
2-5
43%
45%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.9
18.3
16.9
4
29%
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-7
2-5
29%
45%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 29.6
16.8
6.5
4
50%
8
2
0
0
2
0
5
3
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
45%
0-0
-
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.9
16.0
11.5
5
31%
2
1
2
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
41%
1-6
17%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 31.1
15.6
6.7
3
34%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1-1
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
46%
0-2
0%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 25.6
10.3
19.4
8
80%
1
1
0
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
47%
2-4
50%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 28.4
5.5
11.8
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
1-3
0%
40%
0-1
0%
Tyler Honeycutt
F · 6'8" 188 · 22.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29.0
30.8
31.3
20
63%
3
7
2
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
5-7
3-7
71%
51%
3-8
38%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.2
26.8
25.0
11
67%
9
2
1
1
1
2
1
8
3-5
60%
4-6
4-7
67%
58%
0-0
-
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.5
26.2
33.2
14
73%
3
3
2
1
0
1
0
3
6-6
100%
1-3
4-7
33%
49%
2-4
50%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 25.2
25.5
33.2
26
87%
3
6
4
1
1
4
0
3
0-0
-
7-10
5-10
70%
53%
4-5
80%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 23.9
21.6
24.8
10
100%
5
1
1
1
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
5-5
4-7
100%
59%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 36.9
23.5
23.6
4
106%
4
9
2
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
1-1
3-6
100%
51%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 26.9
16.6
23.3
4
29%
2
3
0
1
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
51%
0-1
0%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 25.0
15.5
15.7
12
87%
3
0
0
0
2
1
0
3
2-2
100%
5-6
3-6
83%
57%
0-0
-
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 22.3
12.8
2.5
8
40%
5
2
0
0
1
0
2
3
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
53%
2-7
29%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 20.2
12.0
2.8
8
57%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
55%
2-4
50%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 23.5
10.9
2.8
4
50%
7
0
0
0
1
1
2
5
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
48%
0-0
-
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 26.5
9.4
2.6
0
0%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
54%
0-1
0%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.7
8.4
19.5
0
0%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Quincy Miller
F · 6'9" 210 · 20.2
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.