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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 27, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Heat59%9798
15Celtics41%93100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 28.1
51.9
35.0
34
51%
16
7
3
1
1
3
4
12
3-5
60%
11-25
7-13
44%
55%
3-6
50%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 31.0
46.5
33.8
17
38%
4
7
2
1
1
6
2
2
5-6
83%
6-16
7-14
38%
51%
0-4
0%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 28.8
46.3
31.1
16
62%
16
0
0
1
1
5
5
11
2-2
100%
7-11
5-10
64%
51%
0-1
0%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.7
22.1
27.5
0
0%
1
2
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.6
14.9
18.1
2
50%
6
1
1
0
0
0
3
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 37.5
38.1
23.6
21
52%
5
0
0
1
1
1
0
5
5-7
71%
5-9
2-4
56%
49%
2-8
25%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 34.4
36.0
17.9
2
33%
2
2
0
1
2
1
2
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
44%
0-2
0%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.3
13.1
17.0
6
50%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
43%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 30.5
11.7
15.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 33.5
9.2
4.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.9
10.0
0
0-1
46%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34.6
4.2
0
0-1
54%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.3
2.8
0
0-0
38%
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 24.9
Jarvis Varnado
F-C · 6'9" 230 · 24.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 35.3
48.8
33.6
17
46%
13
10
1
1
1
6
0
13
4-6
67%
5-13
4-9
38%
47%
1-3
33%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 36.7
44.7
30.6
24
57%
11
4
2
1
3
1
3
8
4-5
80%
10-18
6-11
56%
50%
0-1
0%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.2
27.9
24.5
9
51%
4
0
2
1
0
1
2
2
2-2
100%
2-6
2-5
33%
48%
1-2
50%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 27.3
26.0
17.9
4
25%
0
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
49%
0-2
0%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 20.9
22.2
20.2
7
60%
4
2
3
0
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
3-4
3-5
75%
50%
0-1
0%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.4
41.8
23.6
11
62%
4
0
0
1
1
3
0
4
2-2
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
48%
1-3
33%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 35.4
32.1
16.9
13
47%
2
1
1
1
1
1
0
2
4-4
100%
3-5
1-3
60%
48%
1-7
14%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 30.2
30.0
5.0
9
56%
3
4
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-7
1-1
43%
47%
1-1
100%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 27.7
13.9
19.0
6
44%
4
1
0
0
1
0
2
2
4-4
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
48%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 30.4
2.5
3.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
56%
0-0
-
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 26.9
36.7
2
6-12
50%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 34.2
5.5
0
0-1
43%
Fab Melo
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.