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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 27, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Pistons45%97104
22Magic55%98102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 21.2
36.8
29.1
31
92%
4
0
1
1
0
3
0
4
2-2
100%
7-8
3-6
88%
46%
5-8
63%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 32.9
34.9
29.8
7
25%
5
4
2
0
0
3
2
3
1-2
50%
3-11
4-8
27%
46%
0-2
0%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 22.7
33.4
33.0
17
67%
7
6
1
1
2
2
2
5
3-4
75%
7-11
6-12
64%
51%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.9
20.1
22.9
4
37%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-1
0%
2-5
3-6
40%
49%
0-0
-
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.7
19.4
24.9
10
85%
3
2
2
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
2-2
100%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 28.4
24.5
10.4
12
48%
5
0
1
0
2
0
2
3
0-1
0%
3-7
1-2
43%
49%
2-5
40%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.1
20.3
21.2
9
51%
0
12
0
1
0
2
0
0
3-4
75%
3-6
3-7
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Kim English
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.3
18.6
2.9
6
77%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
2-2
0-1
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 19.5
16.4
22.8
0
0%
4
0
0
1
2
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
4-6
0%
57%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 24.6
15.6
12.6
8
67%
4
1
1
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
42%
2-4
50%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 25.9
4.0
0
0-1
50%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 33.2
3.2
0
0-1
45%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 21.5
0.8
0
0-0
47%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 26.8
Viacheslav Kravtsov
C · 6'11" 254 · 25.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.3
40.4
31.0
12
46%
17
3
0
1
1
1
8
9
0-0
-
6-13
5-10
46%
51%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 28.6
39.8
35.0
31
81%
6
2
3
1
0
5
2
4
3-5
60%
2-6
3-5
33%
50%
8-11
73%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 27.1
38.3
28.4
17
37%
12
4
0
1
0
5
5
7
1-2
50%
8-22
5-12
36%
46%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 31.0
37.5
37.3
18
54%
6
8
1
1
0
2
1
5
5-6
83%
5-8
4-8
63%
47%
1-6
17%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.3
26.0
37.6
4
29%
1
4
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
5-10
33%
50%
0-1
0%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 23.9
29.2
18.7
18
59%
1
3
2
0
0
1
0
1
3-3
100%
6-10
2-4
60%
46%
1-4
25%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.7
12.9
12.8
2
33%
5
0
1
0
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 27.8
12.1
8.2
0
0%
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
53%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.6
3.9
3.9
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 25.9
9.0
0
1-1
51%
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.1
8.4
0
2-3
51%
DeQuan Jones
F · 6'8" 221 · 22.6
7.7
0
1-1
49%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 22.8
2.1
0
0-1
50%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 33.9
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.