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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 27, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Hornets29%8991
7Grizzlies71%9783
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 26.0
34.2
29.4
5
15%
2
11
0
1
0
4
0
2
1-1
100%
2-14
3-7
14%
45%
0-2
0%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.4
30.4
27.2
9
46%
12
0
0
1
1
2
2
10
1-2
50%
4-9
3-6
44%
45%
0-0
-
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.1
29.6
28.3
8
59%
3
2
4
1
2
2
0
3
4-4
100%
2-4
4-9
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 19.9
23.9
25.3
10
71%
6
1
2
1
2
5
1
5
0-0
-
5-7
4-8
71%
48%
0-0
-
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 24.8
17.0
18.8
8
58%
6
0
0
0
0
0
4
2
2-2
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
50%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 24.7
27.8
30.0
22
79%
5
0
0
1
0
1
1
4
1-2
50%
0-0
3-6
-
47%
7-13
54%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 26.9
27.3
16.8
16
76%
5
1
0
0
2
0
4
1
6-8
75%
5-7
3-6
71%
47%
0-0
-
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 20.5
20.7
16.7
6
52%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-4
25%
1-2
1-4
50%
37%
1-2
50%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.8
15.3
5.2
2
33%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
43%
0-0
-
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 27.2
13.8
12.8
5
36%
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
1-4
20%
40%
1-2
50%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 32.4
15.5
0
1-2
43%
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 21.9
6.4
0
1-2
41%
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.9
3.2
0
0-0
41%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.0
40.4
31.3
14
44%
11
3
1
1
3
1
5
6
4-4
100%
5-14
5-9
36%
53%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.4
34.0
32.4
10
27%
5
3
2
1
1
4
2
3
3-4
75%
2-10
6-11
20%
49%
1-7
14%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.5
33.9
33.1
20
59%
13
1
1
1
0
2
7
6
2-2
100%
9-16
6-12
56%
51%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 31.0
28.1
25.5
9
42%
5
0
0
2
0
1
3
2
3-4
75%
3-9
3-7
33%
49%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.3
4.3
29.0
0
0%
0
1
1
2
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
3-7
-
48%
0-1
0%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.4
36.5
21.4
14
54%
2
5
3
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
6-9
2-4
67%
46%
0-3
0%
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 19.8
25.6
14.0
2
14%
1
4
1
0
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-7
2-5
14%
49%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.8
20.9
21.2
8
51%
7
0
0
1
1
3
4
3
2-2
100%
3-7
4-7
43%
51%
0-0
-
Chris Johnson
F · 6'6" 206 · 22.7
16.4
14.3
6
60%
3
1
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
50%
2-5
40%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 27.7
5.2
0
1-1
53%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 23.7
2.2
0
0-1
52%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.