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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 27, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Trail Blazers25%9483
4Clippers75%10396
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 27.5
39.4
37.6
21
67%
11
4
1
1
1
1
5
6
3-4
75%
9-14
8-16
64%
48%
0-0
-
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.5
37.3
36.5
16
51%
2
5
1
1
1
5
0
2
4-4
100%
3-7
4-8
43%
45%
2-7
29%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 26.3
36.0
36.7
7
39%
1
8
3
1
0
3
1
0
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
45%
1-4
25%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 24.1
34.7
38.6
8
63%
6
8
0
1
0
4
1
5
2-3
67%
3-5
3-6
60%
49%
0-0
-
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 24.4
30.8
28.6
15
60%
9
1
1
1
1
2
1
8
5-8
63%
5-9
4-9
56%
50%
0-0
-
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 22.1
15.3
15.2
8
59%
3
0
2
0
1
2
1
2
4-4
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
42%
0-1
0%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 29.6
12.5
9.6
3
39%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
38%
0-1
0%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.6
12.2
6.1
0
0%
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
40%
0-2
0%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 20.9
8.1
14.8
1
27%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
2-3
0%
51%
0-0
-
Joel Freeland
C-F · 6'10" 225 · 26.0
6.6
2.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Victor Claver
· 6'9" 224 · 24.4
3.6
3.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Nolan Smith
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.5
3.6
2.2
4
106%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
0-1
100%
39%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 29.2
6.6
0
0-1
41%
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 23.6
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 31.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 23.1
35.1
29.1
10
34%
5
5
0
2
1
0
0
5
1-2
50%
3-12
4-9
25%
50%
1-2
50%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 23.9
28.3
35.9
23
65%
5
9
2
1
0
1
1
4
5-6
83%
9-14
8-15
64%
55%
0-1
0%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 32.9
26.1
21.4
12
67%
2
2
2
1
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
47%
2-4
50%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 31.5
20.3
15.4
7
70%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
50%
1-3
33%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 24.5
16.5
23.6
8
67%
3
0
0
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
4-6
3-6
67%
62%
0-0
-
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 33.2
29.0
22.5
8
54%
13
6
1
1
0
3
2
11
0-1
0%
4-7
2-4
57%
50%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 32.9
27.4
30.7
9
50%
1
5
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
4-9
60%
46%
1-4
25%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 32.9
25.2
27.3
7
50%
4
2
1
1
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
55%
1-3
33%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 40.3
20.1
14.5
6
60%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
49%
0-0
-
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 30.0
9.6
7.9
6
75%
2
1
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-1
75%
56%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 28.3
2.5
1.3
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
57%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 27.7
13.2
1
2-3
52%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 36.3
Trey Thompkins
F · 6'10" 245 · 22.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.