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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 28, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Grizzlies58%92103
2776ers42%89100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.0
43.1
34.6
27
77%
7
7
2
1
2
3
0
7
6-6
100%
9-14
5-10
64%
50%
1-1
100%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.4
41.4
27.0
21
63%
5
9
0
1
1
2
1
4
4-4
100%
7-13
2-5
54%
45%
1-2
50%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.5
40.0
33.0
26
69%
7
5
0
1
1
3
1
6
3-4
75%
7-11
5-12
64%
47%
3-6
50%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.5
32.5
33.2
4
29%
12
2
1
1
0
2
3
9
0-0
-
2-7
6-12
29%
49%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 31.0
23.9
26.6
5
42%
3
0
1
2
0
4
2
1
0-0
-
1-4
3-7
25%
47%
1-2
50%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'6" 206 · 22.8
25.9
15.1
8
100%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
2-2
100%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.8
20.4
21.2
6
38%
2
1
0
1
0
1
2
0
0-2
0%
3-7
4-8
43%
48%
0-0
-
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 19.8
12.9
18.4
6
90%
2
1
1
1
0
2
0
2
2-3
67%
2-2
3-6
100%
45%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.3
19.7
1
2-4
46%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 27.7
4.0
0
0-1
49%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 23.7
1.8
0
0-1
47%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 22.6
40.1
37.2
18
47%
3
10
1
1
0
4
1
2
0-0
-
9-18
6-14
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.6
40.0
35.7
23
58%
7
2
4
1
1
0
3
4
1-2
50%
11-18
6-12
61%
51%
0-1
0%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 24.3
39.8
37.0
27
68%
3
7
1
1
0
1
0
3
3-4
75%
12-18
5-10
67%
44%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 24.8
36.2
29.3
8
57%
4
1
0
0
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
4-6
4-9
67%
48%
0-1
0%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 27.7
33.1
33.5
13
48%
2
1
1
1
1
1
0
2
1-1
100%
3-9
3-8
33%
44%
2-4
50%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 31.1
17.1
16.0
6
150%
2
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
40%
2-2
100%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 33.0
14.5
15.5
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
41%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 30.9
10.9
2.9
3
80%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
1-2
50%
1-1
0-0
100%
50%
0-0
-
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 24.0
7.9
15.0
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
0-0
-
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 22.8
0.3
2.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 32.0
7.7
0
1-1
46%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 27.2
6.5
0
0-1
47%
Arnett Moultrie
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.2
2.9
0
0-1
44%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 25.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.