for complete access.

Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 28, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Kings35%9696
23Wizards65%10194
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.4
36.4
27.7
13
48%
5
6
4
1
0
3
0
5
5-8
63%
4-8
4-9
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 24.0
32.0
24.3
22
58%
4
7
0
1
0
1
0
4
3-7
43%
8-12
3-6
67%
49%
1-4
25%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.5
26.2
29.8
12
61%
4
1
2
1
1
3
1
3
2-4
50%
5-8
6-13
63%
45%
0-0
-
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 26.5
14.3
22.4
2
25%
5
1
1
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-4
4-7
25%
51%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 33.1
12.0
26.4
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 21.9
28.5
18.2
9
43%
3
2
1
1
2
1
2
1
1-1
100%
4-10
2-5
40%
45%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 31.1
26.2
10.0
17
81%
3
1
3
0
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
2-4
1-1
50%
46%
4-6
67%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 25.7
23.9
16.1
11
46%
4
2
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
48%
3-7
43%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 29.6
21.6
10.0
2
25%
5
0
1
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
46%
0-0
-
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.9
14.0
12.9
7
72%
1
4
1
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
41%
1-2
50%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.9
5.0
17.0
1
57%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
2-5
-
46%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 28.0
14.8
0
1-3
48%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 28.4
9.5
0
1-2
41%
Tyler Honeycutt
F · 6'8" 188 · 22.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 30.3
33.1
26.6
23
74%
15
3
1
1
0
1
4
11
5-6
83%
9-13
4-8
69%
54%
0-0
-
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 26.2
32.1
25.3
18
84%
3
2
0
1
0
2
1
2
4-4
100%
4-4
2-4
100%
49%
2-5
40%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 30.4
30.4
26.3
4
25%
7
2
1
1
1
6
2
5
0-0
-
2-8
5-10
25%
56%
0-0
-
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.4
29.9
24.7
19
56%
1
6
0
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
9-16
4-9
56%
46%
0-0
-
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 19.6
24.4
27.2
6
47%
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
1-4
3-7
25%
46%
1-2
50%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 23.1
24.4
18.9
12
56%
7
0
1
0
0
1
2
5
2-4
50%
5-9
4-8
56%
50%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 27.6
22.8
20.7
4
41%
3
1
1
1
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
0-2
0%
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.3
18.1
21.3
2
20%
4
1
0
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
45%
0-1
0%
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 24.3
16.7
20.2
4
34%
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
48%
0-1
0%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.2
7.8
15.0
2
50%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
54%
0-0
-
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 26.7
0.2
3.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 22.8
7.4
0
1-2
55%
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 23.2
2.4
0
0-0
46%
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.