Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	8	Pacers	40%	95	101	107.4	94	88.2
	5	Nuggets	60%	99	102	109.7	93	99.6

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paul George F · 6'8" 230 · 23	44.0	23	68%	10	5	4	1	3	5	3	7	1-1	100%	5-8	63%	4-9	44%
George Hill G · 6'3" 188 · 27	39.4	12	50%	1	6	0	1	3	2	0	1	1-2	50%	1-6	17%	3-6	50%
Lance Stephenson G · 6'6" 230 · 22	37.6	20	71%	8	4	1	1	2	4	3	5	2-2	100%	6-10	60%	2-3	67%
David West F · 6'9" 250 · 32	35.2	17	53%	5	4	0	0	2	4	1	4	1-2	50%	8-15	53%	0-0	-
Roy Hibbert C · 7'2" 270 · 26	32.6	8	31%	11	2	0	2	3	4	4	7	2-2	100%	3-12	25%	0-0	-

Ian Mahinmi C · 6'11" 262 · 26	15.4	6	43%	5	0	1	0	2	1	3	2	2-4	50%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Tyler Hansbrough · 6'9" 250 · 27	12.8	3	50%	1	0	0	0	1	5	1	0	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
D.J. Augustin G · 6'0" 183 · 25	12.7	4	40%	0	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
Orlando Johnson G · 6'5" 220 · 24	10.3	8	80%	2	0	0	0	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-2	100%
Gerald Green G-F · 6'7" 205 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jeff Ayres F-C · 6'9" 250 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Ben Hansbrough G · 6'3" 203 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Miles Plumlee C · 6'11" 249 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Sam Young #4 · F-G · 6'6" 225 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Danny Granger #33 · F-G · 6'9" 222 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	54%	43	23	6	5	18	0	16	27	12-17	71%	28-62	45%	11-23	48%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

8 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paul George F · 6'8" 230 · 23	44.0	23	68%	10	5	4	1	3	5	3	7	1-1	100%	5-8	63%	4-9	44%
George Hill G · 6'3" 188 · 27	39.4	12	50%	1	6	0	1	3	2	0	1	1-2	50%	1-6	17%	3-6	50%
Lance Stephenson G · 6'6" 230 · 22	37.6	20	71%	8	4	1	1	2	4	3	5	2-2	100%	6-10	60%	2-3	67%
David West F · 6'9" 250 · 32	35.2	17	53%	5	4	0	0	2	4	1	4	1-2	50%	8-15	53%	0-0	-
Roy Hibbert C · 7'2" 270 · 26	32.6	8	31%	11	2	0	2	3	4	4	7	2-2	100%	3-12	25%	0-0	-

Ian Mahinmi C · 6'11" 262 · 26	15.4	6	43%	5	0	1	0	2	1	3	2	2-4	50%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Tyler Hansbrough · 6'9" 250 · 27	12.8	3	50%	1	0	0	0	1	5	1	0	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
D.J. Augustin G · 6'0" 183 · 25	12.7	4	40%	0	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
Orlando Johnson G · 6'5" 220 · 24	10.3	8	80%	2	0	0	0	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-2	100%
Gerald Green G-F · 6'7" 205 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jeff Ayres F-C · 6'9" 250 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Ben Hansbrough G · 6'3" 203 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Miles Plumlee C · 6'11" 249 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Sam Young #4 · F-G · 6'6" 225 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Danny Granger #33 · F-G · 6'9" 222 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	54%	43	23	6	5	18	0	16	27	12-17	71%	28-62	45%	11-23	48%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

5 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 25	40.8	18	47%	4	7	5	0	3	2	0	4	3-4	75%	6-14	43%	1-3	33%
Andre Iguodala G · 6'6" 215 · 29	37.8	13	41%	10	7	1	0	1	1	4	6	5-10	50%	4-11	36%	0-0	-
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 24	37.6	27	75%	3	3	1	1	0	3	0	3	6-7	86%	6-10	60%	3-6	50%
Kosta Koufos C · 7'0" 265 · 24	35.7	9	50%	11	0	0	3	1	4	2	9	1-2	50%	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 23	12.2	4	100%	6	2	0	0	0	4	1	5	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-

Corey Brewer F · 6'9" 186 · 27	29.6	16	62%	3	1	3	0	0	1	1	2	3-4	75%	2-6	33%	3-5	60%
Timofey Mozgov C · 7'1" 275 · 27	25.2	10	63%	3	2	0	0	4	3	1	2	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Andre Miller G · 6'3" 200 · 37	16.7	5	83%	0	1	0	0	5	4	0	0	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Anthony Randolph · 6'10" 225 · 24	4.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Wilson Chandler F · 6'9" 225 · 26	\| DND - Groin Strain
Jordan Hamilton G-F · 6'7" 220 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Evan Fournier G-F · 6'7" 205 · 20	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Julyan Stone G · 6'6" 200 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
JaVale McGee #34 · C · 7'0" 270 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Quincy Miller #30 · F · 6'9" 210 · 20	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	54%	41	23	10	4	14	0	9	32	21-30	70%	30-64	47%	7-14	50%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	IND	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	IND	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.09 54.3%

DEN

1.07 53.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

IND

12

25

48%

DEN

20

34

59%

Midrange

IND

16

37

43%

DEN

10

30

33%

3PT | Effective 3PT

IND

11

16.5

23

48%

72%

DEN

7

10.5

14

50%

75%

Free Throws

IND

12

17

71%

DEN

21

30

70%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. George	23	68%	11.5 / 17
L. Stephenson	20	71%	10.0 / 14
D. West	17	53%	8.5 / 16
G. Hill	12	50%	6.0 / 12
R. Hibbert	8	31%	4.0 / 13
O. Johnson	8	80%	4.0 / 5
I. Mahinmi	6	43%	3.0 / 7
D. Augustin	4	40%	2.0 / 5
T. Hansbrough	3	50%	1.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Gallinari	27	75%	13.5 / 18
T. Lawson	18	47%	9.0 / 19
C. Brewer	16	62%	8.0 / 13
A. Iguodala	13	41%	6.5 / 16
T. Mozgov	10	63%	5.0 / 8
K. Koufos	9	50%	4.5 / 9
A. Miller	5	83%	2.5 / 3
K. Faried	4	100%	2.0 / 2
A. Randolph	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	18 104.7 5 110.6	IND 107.4 DEN 109.7 +2.2
Pace	26 89.9 2 95.0	IND 88.2 DEN 99.6 +11.4
Avg. Poss. Time	5 16.3 29 14.6	IND 16.3 DEN 14.5 −1.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	22 47.9% 7 51.5%	IND 52.4% +0.5% DEN 51.9%
TO %	29 16.1% 18 15.3%	IND 16.3% DEN 14.1% −2.2%
ORB %	4 30.3% 1 31.4%	IND 33.3% +8.3% DEN 25.0%
FTrt	9 29.3 5 30.8	IND 20.0 DEN 38.5 +18.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	24 57.8% 15 60.0%	IND 59.0% DEN 62.2% +3.2%
STL %	22 7.9% 2 9.7%	IND 6.4% DEN 10.8% +4.4%
BLK %	7 9.7% 2 10.4%	IND 7.8% +1.3% DEN 6.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	20 50.6% 7 53.5%	IND 54.3% +0.6% DEN 53.7%
Rim FG%	24 55.7% 6 60.5%	IND 48.0% DEN 58.8% +10.8%
Mid FG%	22 38.2% 30 35.7%	IND 43.2% +9.9% DEN 33.3%
3P %	22 34.7% 25 34.3%	IND 47.8% DEN 50.0% +2.2%
FT %	19 74.6% 28 70.1%	IND 70.6% +0.6% DEN 70.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	17 35.7% 1 50.1%	IND 29.4% DEN 43.6% +14.2%
Mid Att. %	16 39.8% 2 28.2%	IND 43.5% DEN 38.5% −5.1%
3P Att. %	11 24.5% 22 21.7%	IND 27.1% +9.1% DEN 17.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.3 and 3.3.

Game Totals	IND	DEN
Possessions	94	93
Possession Minutes	25.6	22.4
Points	101	102
Rebounds	43	41
Assists	23	23
Steals	6	10
Blocks	5	4
Turnovers (Team)	18 (0)	14 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	16 (1)	9 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (5)	32 (2)
Field Goals	39-85	37-78
At-the-Rim FG	12-25	20-34
Midrange FG	16-37	10-30
2-Point FG	28-62	30-64
3-Point FG	11-23	7-14
Free Throws	12-17	21-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg