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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 28, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Pacers40%95101
5Nuggets60%98102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.7
44.0
39.2
23
66%
10
5
4
2
1
3
3
7
1-1
100%
5-8
5-11
63%
47%
4-9
44%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 26.7
39.4
36.5
12
47%
1
6
0
1
1
3
0
1
1-2
50%
1-6
4-8
17%
49%
3-6
50%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 22.4
37.6
28.0
20
72%
8
4
1
1
1
2
3
5
2-2
100%
6-10
2-5
60%
48%
2-3
67%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.4
35.2
34.3
17
54%
5
4
0
1
0
2
1
4
1-2
50%
8-15
7-14
53%
49%
0-0
-
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 26.1
32.6
29.8
8
31%
11
2
0
1
2
3
4
7
2-2
100%
3-12
5-10
25%
46%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 26.2
15.4
15.6
6
44%
5
0
1
0
0
2
3
2
2-4
50%
2-5
2-4
40%
50%
0-0
-
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 27.2
12.8
12.5
3
52%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
43%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 25.2
12.7
22.0
4
41%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
41%
0-3
0%
Orlando Johnson
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.9
10.3
8.2
8
80%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
43%
2-2
100%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 27.0
7.6
0
1-2
46%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.8
4.0
0
1-1
48%
Ben Hansbrough
G · 6'3" 203 · 25.1
1.7
0
0-0
44%
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 24.4
0.8
0
0-0
45%
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 27.7
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 29.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 25.2
40.8
29.0
18
48%
4
7
5
1
0
3
0
4
3-4
75%
6-14
4-9
43%
50%
1-3
33%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29.0
37.8
30.3
13
42%
10
7
1
1
0
1
4
6
5-10
50%
4-11
3-6
36%
48%
0-0
-
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.5
37.6
29.2
27
71%
3
3
1
1
1
0
0
3
6-7
86%
6-10
3-6
60%
46%
3-6
50%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 23.9
35.7
22.9
9
51%
11
0
0
1
3
1
2
9
1-2
50%
4-8
3-6
50%
56%
0-0
-
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.2
12.2
25.7
4
100%
6
2
0
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
2-2
4-7
100%
54%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 26.9
29.6
19.7
16
63%
3
1
3
1
0
0
1
2
3-4
75%
2-6
2-5
33%
48%
3-5
60%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 26.5
25.2
6.4
10
63%
3
2
0
0
0
4
1
2
2-2
100%
4-7
1-2
57%
49%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 36.9
16.7
23.3
5
73%
0
1
0
1
0
5
0
0
1-1
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
48%
0-0
-
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 23.5
4.5
6.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.7
13.9
0
2-4
47%
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 22.3
8.0
0
1-2
47%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 20.2
7.6
0
1-1
48%
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.1
3.5
0
0-0
46%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 25.0
Quincy Miller
F · 6'9" 210 · 20.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.