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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 29, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Hornets31%97106
7Lakers69%104111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 24.8
33.3
18.0
16
71%
9
2
1
0
0
3
6
3
2-3
67%
7-10
3-6
70%
52%
0-0
-
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 26.0
32.6
31.0
15
46%
5
15
0
1
0
1
0
5
1-1
100%
7-15
4-9
47%
46%
0-1
0%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.1
31.9
28.5
25
88%
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
5-5
100%
1-4
4-9
25%
48%
6-8
75%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 19.9
22.1
24.4
18
65%
3
0
2
1
0
0
0
3
4-4
100%
7-12
4-8
58%
51%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.4
16.6
28.1
0
0%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
3-7
0%
47%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 24.7
28.1
28.7
16
52%
6
0
1
1
0
1
0
6
1-1
100%
3-8
3-6
38%
48%
3-7
43%
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 20.5
22.9
18.0
9
46%
2
0
2
0
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
3-7
2-4
43%
39%
0-1
0%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.8
17.7
9.4
0
0%
4
1
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 26.9
14.7
20.9
5
34%
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
3-3
100%
1-6
4-7
17%
49%
0-0
-
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 27.2
12.1
13.0
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-5
2-4
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.9
4.7
3.2
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
43%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 32.4
3.3
10.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
0-1
0%
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 21.9
4.5
0
0-1
43%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 27.1
36.7
27.9
24
67%
4
2
5
1
4
3
0
4
6-11
55%
9-13
4-7
69%
59%
0-0
-
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 25.0
35.3
26.7
20
91%
12
4
0
1
0
6
1
11
0-0
-
4-6
3-7
67%
46%
4-5
80%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 39.0
34.6
32.0
12
102%
4
5
0
1
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
1-1
3-6
100%
55%
3-4
75%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 34.4
34.4
36.8
14
51%
8
11
0
1
0
2
3
5
4-4
100%
5-8
7-14
63%
50%
0-4
0%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 33.2
22.6
37.0
3
19%
4
1
0
2
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
48%
1-6
17%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 36.6
24.2
13.1
16
51%
7
0
0
0
0
0
1
6
3-4
75%
5-9
1-2
56%
49%
1-5
20%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 32.6
21.4
29.9
7
47%
7
7
0
0
0
1
2
5
5-8
63%
1-4
4-9
25%
51%
0-0
-
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.4
17.5
10.9
13
55%
2
0
2
0
0
0
0
2
2-4
50%
1-2
1-1
50%
47%
3-8
38%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 32.9
13.4
10.5
2
50%
2
4
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
42%
0-1
0%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.4
13.6
0
0-1
44%
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 22.1
3.5
0
0-1
48%
Robert Sacre
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.6
3.1
0
0-1
51%
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 23.3
2.9
0
0-1
48%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 25.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.