Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	22	Raptors	33%	94	92	96.8	95	88.7
	11	Hawks	67%	99	93	97.9	95	102.3

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Amir Johnson F · 6'9" 240 · 26	39.2	6	23%	14	0	0	4	2	4	5	9	0-3	0%	3-11	27%	0-1	0%
Alan Anderson F · 6'6" 220 · 30	34.9	15	50%	4	3	1	0	4	3	0	4	7-8	88%	1-7	14%	2-5	40%
DeMar DeRozan G · 6'6" 220 · 23	34.9	23	64%	4	2	2	0	2	1	1	3	5-6	83%	6-13	46%	2-3	67%
Aaron Gray C · 7'0" 270 · 28	34.6	8	50%	11	1	0	1	1	3	4	7	0-0	-	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Kyle Lowry G · 6'0" 196 · 27	30.0	14	58%	10	5	1	0	3	3	3	7	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	2-3	67%

John Lucas III G · 5'11" 166 · 30	24.0	19	59%	0	2	0	0	2	1	0	0	0-0	-	5-9	56%	3-7	43%
Terrence Ross G-F · 6'7" 206 · 22	20.9	2	20%	3	1	2	0	2	2	1	2	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-3	0%
Landry Fields G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25	14.8	3	25%	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	4	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Quincy Acy F · 6'7" 240 · 22	6.7	2	100%	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Andrea Bargnani C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27	\| DND - Torn Right Elbow Ligament
Jonas Valančiūnas C · 6'11" 265 · 21	\| NWT - Fractured Metacarpal, Right Ring F
Linas Kleiza F · 6'8" 234 · 28	\| NWT - Sore Right Knee
Mickael Pietrus F · 6'6" 215 · 31	\| NWT - Left Knee Tendinitis
Ed Davis #32 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Jose Calderon #8 · G · 6'3" 200 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	92	47%	52	16	6	5	17	0	15	37	17-23	74%	24-63	38%	9-22	41%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

22 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Amir Johnson F · 6'9" 240 · 26	39.2	6	23%	14	0	0	4	2	4	5	9	0-3	0%	3-11	27%	0-1	0%
Alan Anderson F · 6'6" 220 · 30	34.9	15	50%	4	3	1	0	4	3	0	4	7-8	88%	1-7	14%	2-5	40%
DeMar DeRozan G · 6'6" 220 · 23	34.9	23	64%	4	2	2	0	2	1	1	3	5-6	83%	6-13	46%	2-3	67%
Aaron Gray C · 7'0" 270 · 28	34.6	8	50%	11	1	0	1	1	3	4	7	0-0	-	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Kyle Lowry G · 6'0" 196 · 27	30.0	14	58%	10	5	1	0	3	3	3	7	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	2-3	67%

John Lucas III G · 5'11" 166 · 30	24.0	19	59%	0	2	0	0	2	1	0	0	0-0	-	5-9	56%	3-7	43%
Terrence Ross G-F · 6'7" 206 · 22	20.9	2	20%	3	1	2	0	2	2	1	2	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-3	0%
Landry Fields G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25	14.8	3	25%	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	4	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Quincy Acy F · 6'7" 240 · 22	6.7	2	100%	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Andrea Bargnani C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27	\| DND - Torn Right Elbow Ligament
Jonas Valančiūnas C · 6'11" 265 · 21	\| NWT - Fractured Metacarpal, Right Ring F
Linas Kleiza F · 6'8" 234 · 28	\| NWT - Sore Right Knee
Mickael Pietrus F · 6'6" 215 · 31	\| NWT - Left Knee Tendinitis
Ed Davis #32 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Jose Calderon #8 · G · 6'3" 200 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	92	47%	52	16	6	5	17	0	15	37	17-23	74%	24-63	38%	9-22	41%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

11 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Al Horford C · 6'8" 240 · 27	43.9	22	65%	10	6	0	3	0	0	1	9	2-4	50%	10-15	67%	0-0	-
Jeff Teague G · 6'2" 189 · 25	39.6	9	38%	4	7	3	0	5	3	0	4	2-2	100%	2-8	25%	1-3	33%
Josh Smith F · 6'9" 225 · 27	38.3	20	53%	11	3	3	3	4	3	1	10	5-7	71%	6-13	46%	1-3	33%
Kyle Korver F · 6'7" 212 · 32	36.7	17	85%	6	3	2	0	1	3	0	6	0-0	-	1-1	100%	5-9	56%
Devin Harris G · 6'3" 185 · 30	31.9	8	57%	0	5	2	1	3	1	0	0	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	1-4	25%

DeShawn Stevenson F-G · 6'5" 218 · 32	18.3	6	60%	2	0	0	1	2	3	0	2	0-2	0%	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Ivan Johnson F · 6'8" 255 · 29	13.8	6	50%	2	2	0	0	1	4	1	1	0-1	0%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
John Jenkins G · 6'4" 215 · 22	12.7	5	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	0-3	0%
Jannero Pargo G · 6'1" 185 · 33	4.9	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Mike Scott F · 6'8" 237 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Johan Petro C · 7'0" 247 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Anthony Tolliver F · 6'8" 240 · 28	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Anthony Morrow G · 6'5" 210 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Zaza Pachulia #27 · C · 6'11" 270 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Lou Williams #3 · G · 6'1" 175 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	93	55%	36	26	10	8	17	0	3	33	11-18	61%	26-49	53%	10-26	38%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	ATL
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	ATL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR

0.95 47.4%

ATL

1.11 55.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

TOR

19

31

61%

ATL

17

29

59%

Midrange

TOR

5

32

16%

ATL

9

20

45%

3PT | Effective 3PT

TOR

9

13.5

22

41%

61%

ATL

10

15.0

26

38%

58%

Free Throws

TOR

17

23

74%

ATL

11

18

61%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan	23	64%	11.5 / 18
J. Lucas III	19	59%	9.5 / 16
A. Anderson	15	50%	7.5 / 15
K. Lowry	14	58%	7.0 / 12
A. Gray	8	50%	4.0 / 8
A. Johnson	6	23%	3.0 / 13
L. Fields	3	25%	1.5 / 6
T. Ross	2	20%	1.0 / 5
Q. Acy	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Horford	22	65%	11.0 / 17
J. Smith	20	53%	10.0 / 19
K. Korver	17	85%	8.5 / 10
J. Teague	9	38%	4.5 / 12
D. Harris	8	57%	4.0 / 7
D. Stevenson	6	60%	3.0 / 5
I. Johnson	6	50%	3.0 / 6
J. Jenkins	5	50%	2.5 / 5
J. Pargo	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	16 105.6 19 104.6	TOR 96.8 ATL 97.9 +1.1
Pace	24 90.7 12 92.9	TOR 88.7 ATL 102.3 +13.7
Avg. Poss. Time	8 16.2 22 15.4	TOR 16.2 ATL 14.1 −2.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	18 48.8% 6 51.7%	TOR 44.1% ATL 54.7% +10.6%
TO %	6 14.4% 16 15.2%	TOR 15.2% −1.8% ATL 17.0%
ORB %	19 25.6% 26 22.2%	TOR 31.3% +23.8% ATL 7.5%
FTrt	13 27.4 25 24.4	TOR 27.1 +3.1 ATL 24.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	19 59.2% 1 65.1%	TOR 48.5% ATL 72.2% +23.7%
STL %	21 7.9% 12 8.7%	TOR 6.3% ATL 10.5% +4.2%
BLK %	16 7.9% 23 7.1%	TOR 10.2% ATL 12.7% +2.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	16 51.9% 10 53.2%	TOR 47.4% ATL 55.4% +8.0%
Rim FG%	7 59.3% 3 62.5%	TOR 61.3% +2.7% ATL 58.6%
Mid FG%	16 39.2% 21 38.3%	TOR 15.6% ATL 45.0% +29.4%
3P %	26 34.3% 7 37.1%	TOR 40.9% +2.4% ATL 38.5%
FT %	5 78.8% 26 71.5%	TOR 73.9% +12.8% ATL 61.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	27 32.6% 20 34.9%	TOR 36.5% ATL 38.7% +2.2%
Mid Att. %	21 42.5% 9 36.5%	TOR 37.6% ATL 26.7% −11.0%
3P Att. %	10 24.9% 4 28.6%	TOR 25.9% ATL 34.7% +8.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	TOR	ATL
Possessions	95	95
Possession Minutes	25.7	22.3
Points	92	93
Rebounds	52	36
Assists	16	26
Steals	6	10
Blocks	5	8
Turnovers (Team)	17 (0)	17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (3)	3 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	37 (0)	33 (3)
Field Goals	33-85	36-75
At-the-Rim FG	19-31	17-29
Midrange FG	5-32	9-20
2-Point FG	24-63	26-49
3-Point FG	9-22	10-26
Free Throws	17-23	11-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg