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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 30, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Rockets40%102110
5Nuggets60%106118
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.4
41.9
32.1
21
57%
5
4
2
1
0
6
2
3
8-12
67%
5-11
5-10
45%
50%
1-2
50%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.3
37.5
30.8
21
73%
3
3
1
1
1
4
0
3
2-3
67%
5-6
3-6
83%
52%
3-7
43%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.6
34.5
27.1
10
57%
18
4
1
1
1
7
4
14
2-4
50%
4-7
3-6
57%
52%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.4
31.0
28.8
22
59%
1
5
1
2
1
1
0
1
5-8
63%
7-12
3-6
58%
48%
1-3
33%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.9
26.8
23.4
10
73%
5
0
2
0
1
1
3
2
2-2
100%
4-5
3-6
80%
50%
0-1
0%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 30.4
25.2
24.2
8
51%
2
3
1
1
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
1-3
-
45%
2-7
29%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.9
19.2
16.1
11
43%
4
2
2
1
1
0
1
3
3-4
75%
4-7
1-3
57%
42%
0-4
0%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.4
17.2
17.3
5
42%
4
1
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
47%
1-3
33%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 22.1
6.7
13.9
2
33%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
55%
0-0
-
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 24.6
8.8
0
1-1
41%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 24.2
4.8
0
0-1
50%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 23.9
4.3
0
0-1
43%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 22.4
3.7
0
0-1
49%
Royce White
F · 6'8" 260 · 21.8
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 21.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29.0
36.7
33.0
15
48%
5
6
2
1
0
6
0
5
4-6
67%
4-6
4-7
67%
49%
1-7
14%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.5
33.8
32.5
27
69%
5
2
0
1
4
3
0
5
3-6
50%
6-8
3-7
75%
47%
4-9
44%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 25.2
33.3
33.9
16
52%
3
4
1
1
0
1
0
3
7-8
88%
3-9
5-11
33%
51%
1-3
33%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.2
32.9
19.6
19
82%
9
1
2
1
0
2
2
7
7-8
88%
6-8
3-6
75%
56%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 23.9
19.6
28.3
6
100%
4
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
0-0
-
3-3
4-8
100%
57%
0-0
-
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.7
25.4
9.1
7
39%
6
1
1
0
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
48%
1-4
25%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 36.9
24.7
20.2
12
67%
3
5
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
6-9
2-5
67%
49%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 26.9
20.3
24.0
9
41%
1
1
0
1
1
1
1
0
4-7
57%
1-3
3-6
33%
49%
1-5
20%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 26.5
13.4
14.9
7
102%
4
0
1
0
0
2
1
3
1-1
100%
3-3
2-4
100%
51%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 25.0
15.6
0
3-6
55%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 23.5
5.7
0
1-2
46%
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 22.3
5.1
0
1-2
49%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 20.3
4.9
0
1-1
50%
Quincy Miller
F · 6'9" 210 · 20.2
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.