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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 30, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Hornets39%9699
19Jazz61%100104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 26.0
38.7
31.3
17
39%
3
13
1
1
0
4
0
3
1-2
50%
8-17
4-9
47%
46%
0-4
0%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 24.8
38.2
24.0
15
51%
9
1
1
0
4
1
4
5
3-6
50%
6-12
4-8
50%
52%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 32.4
30.9
7.7
9
56%
0
3
1
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
44%
3-6
50%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.4
29.2
23.4
3
31%
13
0
1
1
0
0
2
11
1-2
50%
1-3
3-5
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 19.9
21.7
23.3
14
78%
7
1
0
1
2
1
1
6
0-0
-
7-9
4-8
78%
51%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 24.7
26.3
28.2
16
61%
6
1
0
1
0
2
1
5
3-5
60%
2-5
3-6
40%
48%
3-6
50%
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 27.2
15.1
12.6
7
74%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
4-4
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
43%
1-2
50%
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 21.9
13.4
3.7
3
40%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-4
25%
1-1
0-1
100%
42%
0-1
0%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 26.9
11.4
18.3
10
68%
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
2
2-3
67%
4-5
3-6
80%
48%
0-1
0%
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.9
6.2
4.4
3
150%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
1-1
100%
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 20.5
5.2
19.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
40%
0-0
-
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.8
3.6
12.8
2
53%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.1
29.6
1
4-8
48%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 26.6
36.4
23.2
11
44%
7
1
2
1
1
3
0
7
6-6
100%
1-6
2-4
17%
49%
1-4
25%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 29.4
35.3
27.4
14
54%
0
8
1
1
0
4
0
0
4-7
57%
2-4
2-4
50%
44%
2-6
33%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 28.1
34.5
29.5
22
56%
5
2
0
1
1
0
3
2
2-4
50%
10-18
7-13
56%
51%
0-0
-
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 28.0
34.0
27.3
25
66%
10
1
0
1
2
2
2
8
11-16
69%
7-12
5-10
58%
52%
0-0
-
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 34.9
17.1
20.7
2
100%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
45%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 33.6
27.4
16.7
1
17%
6
5
0
1
0
0
1
5
1-2
50%
0-2
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 21.5
22.7
22.6
15
67%
6
1
0
1
1
1
1
5
3-5
60%
6-9
4-7
67%
51%
0-0
-
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 21.5
16.3
15.6
8
86%
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
5-6
83%
0-0
2-4
-
46%
1-2
50%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.5
11.6
12.1
4
67%
3
1
1
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
49%
0-0
-
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 20.7
4.8
14.3
2
100%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
54%
0-0
-
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 22.9
17.2
0
2-5
49%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 25.3
5.7
0
1-1
58%
Kevin Murphy
G · 6'6" 185 · 22.9
5.6
0
1-1
49%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 30.1
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 36.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.