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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 2, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Bulls42%9293
11Hawks58%9576
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.8
45.8
35.9
25
57%
14
5
4
1
2
0
7
7
2-2
100%
7-15
5-10
47%
46%
3-6
50%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 23.4
45.6
34.7
16
46%
10
2
3
1
0
3
3
7
3-3
100%
5-13
4-7
38%
51%
1-3
33%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.6
45.2
34.5
19
62%
19
2
1
1
3
0
6
13
1-3
33%
9-14
5-10
64%
48%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 28.7
40.6
30.0
20
63%
2
8
3
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
4-10
4-9
40%
46%
4-6
67%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 35.0
22.7
17.2
6
21%
4
3
1
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
3-12
3-7
25%
44%
0-2
0%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 26.9
27.6
23.0
5
25%
3
5
0
1
0
1
0
3
3-5
60%
1-5
2-5
20%
44%
0-3
0%
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 19.9
7.4
3.3
2
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
42%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.2
5.0
0.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
40%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 27.9
26.8
1
3-7
49%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 31.2
14.5
0
3-7
49%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 35.4
4.8
0
1-1
46%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.8
2.3
0
0-0
39%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.3
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 32.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.7
40.0
36.9
14
39%
12
1
0
1
3
1
5
7
0-0
-
7-18
7-12
39%
54%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 31.9
36.7
35.5
10
78%
6
1
1
1
2
2
0
6
1-1
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
3-5
60%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 27.2
36.6
37.0
19
55%
13
5
0
1
2
4
3
10
0-3
0%
8-15
6-13
53%
49%
1-1
100%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 24.6
31.9
35.9
16
63%
0
4
1
2
0
2
0
0
4-4
100%
3-6
4-9
50%
49%
2-5
40%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 31.8
17.5
17.3
2
17%
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
39%
0-4
0%
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 28.8
22.9
13.7
8
39%
9
0
0
1
0
3
3
6
2-5
40%
3-8
2-4
38%
51%
0-0
-
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 21.9
22.6
10.8
5
64%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
1-2
67%
45%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 33.3
14.0
8.8
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
40%
0-4
0%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.7
12.5
2.9
2
50%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
48%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.4
3.7
3.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 24.6
1.6
3.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 29.9
25.5
1
2-4
49%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 27.0
2.9
0
0-1
43%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.3
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 29.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.