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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 2, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Bobcats17%9795
7Rockets83%110109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 22.7
42.8
36.4
24
50%
3
3
4
2
1
2
1
2
2-2
100%
8-17
5-11
47%
44%
2-6
33%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 20.4
32.4
27.7
0
0%
3
0
0
0
4
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
46%
0-0
-
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.2
23.8
22.2
15
74%
3
0
2
1
0
1
0
3
5-5
100%
5-8
4-8
63%
45%
0-0
-
Jeff Adrien
· 6'7" 245 · 27.0
21.4
21.8
4
41%
7
3
0
0
0
3
2
5
2-2
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
45%
0-0
-
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 19.4
20.0
24.8
4
34%
5
0
0
1
1
2
1
4
2-2
100%
1-5
3-7
20%
47%
0-0
-
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.8
28.7
31.3
20
72%
2
6
0
1
0
3
0
2
9-11
82%
4-7
5-11
57%
43%
1-2
50%
Jeffery Taylor
· 6'7" 225 · 23.7
28.6
16.9
15
84%
3
3
1
1
1
0
0
3
1-2
50%
4-5
1-3
80%
45%
2-3
67%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.8
20.2
23.6
11
39%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-6
4-8
17%
45%
3-8
38%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 33.2
15.6
17.5
0
0%
6
0
0
0
0
1
3
3
0-0
-
0-3
2-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.5
6.5
6.4
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
40%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 30.6
6.6
0
1-2
44%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 31.0
2.5
0
0-0
41%
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 26.4
2.4
0
0-0
50%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 24.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.3
43.5
32.8
24
66%
10
4
0
1
1
2
3
7
3-3
100%
6-11
4-6
55%
56%
3-6
50%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.4
40.4
35.2
21
70%
11
11
1
2
1
3
0
11
8-9
89%
5-8
6-11
63%
54%
1-3
33%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.6
37.9
29.4
19
61%
15
1
1
1
2
1
6
9
3-6
50%
8-13
4-7
62%
56%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.4
33.8
29.2
9
43%
2
8
3
2
1
4
1
1
1-1
100%
4-8
3-7
50%
52%
0-2
0%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.9
28.9
24.3
24
93%
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
8-9
3-6
89%
53%
2-3
67%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.9
19.8
17.0
7
32%
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-7
2-4
29%
46%
1-4
25%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.4
19.1
17.2
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
52%
0-1
0%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 24.3
10.1
3.3
5
51%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
2-4
0-1
50%
55%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 30.4
6.5
24.2
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 22.1
11.2
0
2-3
60%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 24.6
6.0
0
0-1
48%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 23.9
2.8
0
0-0
47%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 22.4
2.4
0
0-1
56%
Royce White
F · 6'8" 260 · 21.8
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 21.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.