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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 2, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Hornets43%9586
24Timberwolves57%98115
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 19.9
29.0
26.0
18
60%
4
1
2
1
1
1
4
0
6-7
86%
6-12
5-9
50%
51%
0-0
-
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 26.0
26.0
32.8
7
31%
6
7
0
1
0
5
1
5
1-1
100%
3-10
4-10
30%
46%
0-1
0%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 24.8
25.3
23.0
16
74%
2
0
1
0
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
7-10
4-8
70%
52%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.4
23.6
20.8
2
35%
3
0
3
1
1
4
0
3
2-2
100%
0-2
2-5
0%
46%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 32.4
19.6
11.4
3
38%
3
0
2
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
1-4
25%
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 20.5
22.4
15.9
9
47%
1
4
0
0
1
1
1
0
5-8
63%
2-6
1-4
33%
39%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 24.7
19.8
30.2
8
41%
2
1
0
1
0
2
1
1
3-4
75%
1-3
3-6
33%
48%
1-5
20%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 26.9
17.1
14.8
6
61%
3
0
0
0
0
3
1
2
2-2
100%
2-4
3-5
50%
49%
0-0
-
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 21.9
16.3
13.8
6
47%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
2-3
67%
2-5
1-3
40%
43%
0-0
-
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 27.2
14.8
9.2
7
51%
2
2
2
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
42%
1-3
33%
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.9
13.3
12.7
2
50%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.8
12.8
6.6
2
114%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.1
22.8
1
3-7
48%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.0
26.5
30.9
12
62%
6
3
2
1
0
3
1
5
3-6
50%
3-5
3-6
60%
54%
1-2
50%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.0
23.9
26.3
7
44%
1
4
2
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
3-7
40%
50%
1-3
33%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 27.1
23.9
28.6
14
57%
7
0
1
1
1
3
3
4
4-5
80%
5-10
6-11
50%
54%
0-0
-
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 22.3
22.5
27.4
9
67%
3
7
1
2
0
1
2
1
3-4
75%
3-5
2-5
60%
40%
0-0
-
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.7
13.9
24.5
5
53%
3
0
1
1
0
1
1
2
3-4
75%
1-2
3-7
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.8
26.1
26.2
18
100%
4
1
2
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
9-9
4-8
100%
49%
0-0
-
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 24.1
25.5
21.3
12
47%
4
8
0
1
1
2
1
3
3-4
75%
3-6
2-4
50%
47%
1-5
20%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.6
24.1
23.4
5
36%
4
6
0
0
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
1-5
3-7
20%
47%
1-2
50%
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.7
21.5
12.8
11
94%
5
0
1
0
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
3-3
1-2
100%
50%
1-2
50%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 27.4
16.2
9.8
8
82%
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
2
2-2
100%
3-4
1-2
75%
50%
0-0
-
Chris Johnson
F · 6'11" 210 · 27.5
8.0
10.1
6
100%
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
53%
0-0
-
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 30.2
8.0
2.0
8
68%
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-2
0%
4-5
0-0
80%
46%
0-0
-
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 24.4
9.3
0
1-3
49%
Malcolm Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.7
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 28.5
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 24.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.