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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 2, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Magic29%9498
13Bucks71%102107
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.7
42.0
27.1
19
48%
14
1
4
1
1
0
6
8
5-9
56%
7-15
3-5
47%
50%
0-1
0%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 28.6
39.1
34.4
15
42%
1
8
1
1
0
2
0
1
3-4
75%
3-7
3-6
43%
48%
2-9
22%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 23.9
34.6
22.2
7
25%
7
6
1
1
0
4
4
3
0-0
-
2-10
2-5
20%
45%
1-4
25%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.3
33.6
32.2
20
63%
12
6
2
1
2
2
5
7
0-0
-
10-16
5-11
63%
50%
0-0
-
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.2
10.2
17.1
6
100%
0
0
0
0
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
3-7
100%
49%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.6
23.5
10.2
4
29%
1
6
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
1-3
33%
40%
0-1
0%
DeQuan Jones
F · 6'8" 221 · 22.6
19.0
12.6
8
43%
4
1
0
0
0
2
1
3
2-5
40%
3-6
1-2
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 25.9
15.0
7.0
6
61%
8
2
0
0
0
2
2
6
0-2
0%
0-1
1-1
0%
49%
2-3
67%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 22.9
11.7
6.0
9
57%
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
1-2
50%
4-7
1-2
57%
47%
0-0
-
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 27.8
5.9
9.7
2
50%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
51%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 33.9
5.4
14.9
2
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 31.0
28.9
1
3-6
46%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 27.1
15.8
0
3-7
45%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.3
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 33.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.3
43.7
35.6
21
55%
4
11
1
2
0
6
1
3
6-7
86%
6-10
6-12
60%
49%
1-6
17%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.2
35.1
25.6
17
51%
13
2
1
1
6
1
6
7
3-4
75%
7-15
4-7
47%
53%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.7
33.5
32.3
16
58%
8
3
0
1
2
2
3
5
2-2
100%
4-8
5-9
50%
50%
2-5
40%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 23.4
32.9
35.1
20
59%
1
5
1
2
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
6-9
5-10
67%
46%
2-7
29%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.4
25.4
18.7
8
57%
5
1
1
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
4-6
2-5
67%
49%
0-1
0%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 32.4
24.1
21.8
11
61%
4
3
0
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-5
2-3
20%
52%
3-4
75%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.6
15.2
19.3
5
63%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
53%
1-1
100%
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 22.1
12.9
8.6
9
49%
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
1-5
20%
4-7
2-4
57%
52%
0-0
-
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 25.7
6.8
11.7
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 32.7
6.1
15.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
52%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 32.1
4.3
14.3
0
0%
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
49%
0-0
-
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.6
3.8
0
1-1
51%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 31.4
2.3
0
0-1
47%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 33.3
Doron Lamb
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.