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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 2, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Suns28%9793
15Warriors72%105113
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.7
32.0
34.9
13
50%
1
7
2
1
0
2
1
0
5-7
71%
1-7
4-8
14%
50%
2-3
67%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 32.8
30.2
29.2
9
35%
14
4
3
1
1
0
5
9
3-4
75%
3-11
6-12
27%
48%
0-0
-
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 27.7
28.8
30.8
12
76%
7
3
1
1
0
1
5
2
2-2
100%
5-6
3-6
83%
46%
0-1
0%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 29.0
27.5
29.8
4
29%
9
0
0
1
0
1
0
9
0-0
-
2-7
5-9
29%
53%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 27.6
27.1
30.6
16
74%
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
4-4
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
52%
2-3
67%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.1
33.3
26.5
24
49%
5
2
0
1
0
3
0
5
3-3
100%
9-17
5-11
53%
44%
1-6
17%
Kendall Marshall
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.5
19.2
6.8
2
100%
0
3
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
42%
0-0
-
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 27.2
18.4
20.6
5
32%
4
2
0
1
0
1
1
3
1-4
25%
2-6
3-6
33%
46%
0-0
-
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 23.4
14.8
16.2
6
43%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 25.6
4.4
3.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
41%
0-1
0%
Diante Garrett
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.2
2.2
1.1
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
41%
0-0
-
Luke Zeller
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 25.8
2.2
1.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
45%
0-0
-
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 27.7
7.8
0
1-1
42%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 34.3
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 29.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.9
42.4
23.6
29
71%
2
8
2
1
0
2
0
2
1-1
100%
5-10
3-6
50%
49%
6-10
60%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 29.8
37.0
38.4
16
44%
12
7
1
1
0
5
4
8
4-5
80%
6-16
8-15
38%
53%
0-0
-
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 23.0
34.8
35.2
17
55%
7
7
1
1
0
0
0
7
3-3
100%
4-9
4-8
44%
48%
2-5
40%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 20.7
32.2
24.7
21
82%
8
1
0
1
0
2
1
7
3-4
75%
9-11
3-5
82%
49%
0-0
-
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 28.2
24.7
21.6
11
51%
7
2
0
1
3
0
5
2
1-4
25%
5-9
4-7
56%
52%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.3
20.7
33.7
6
33%
1
7
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
5-9
43%
50%
0-2
0%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 29.4
17.7
17.4
8
93%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
2-3
67%
3-3
3-6
100%
53%
0-0
-
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.9
11.6
15.1
0
0%
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 32.6
6.5
13.3
2
100%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
0-0
-
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.3
4.2
9.9
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.8
3.6
9.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
57%
0-0
-
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 23.6
2.4
7.8
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
1-1
100%
Charles Jenkins
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.9
2.2
4.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 27.6
Jeremy Tyler
F · 6'10" 250 · 21.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.