Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	1	Heat	64%	99	100	114.9	87	88.3
	14	Raptors	36%	95	85	94.4	90	88.6

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
LeBron James F · 6'9" 250 · 28	39.7	30	71%	8	7	2	0	3	1	0	8	9-11	82%	9-14	64%	1-2	50%
Chris Bosh C · 6'11" 235 · 29	33.7	28	70%	5	0	1	1	3	3	0	5	3-4	75%	11-18	61%	1-1	100%
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 31	31.9	23	61%	5	5	3	1	3	3	0	5	3-4	75%	10-17	59%	0-1	0%
Mario Chalmers G · 6'2" 190 · 27	30.1	2	17%	2	5	4	0	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-2	0%
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 33	15.6	4	67%	3	0	0	0	0	4	2	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-

Shane Battier F · 6'8" 220 · 34	33.7	5	50%	5	0	0	2	0	2	2	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Ray Allen G · 6'5" 205 · 38	19.8	1	17%	1	2	0	0	2	1	0	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Norris Cole G · 6'2" 175 · 24	17.9	4	50%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35	11.0	1	25%	4	0	0	0	0	4	3	1	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Rashard Lewis F · 6'10" 235 · 33	6.5	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Joel Anthony C · 6'9" 245 · 30	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Mike Miller G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
James Jones G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jarvis Varnado #24 · F-C · 6'9" 230 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Dexter Pittman #45 · C · 6'11" 285 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	59%	34	19	10	4	12	0	7	27	17-23	74%	37-63	59%	3-12	25%

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1 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
LeBron James F · 6'9" 250 · 28	39.7	30	71%	8	7	2	0	3	1	0	8	9-11	82%	9-14	64%	1-2	50%
Chris Bosh C · 6'11" 235 · 29	33.7	28	70%	5	0	1	1	3	3	0	5	3-4	75%	11-18	61%	1-1	100%
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 31	31.9	23	61%	5	5	3	1	3	3	0	5	3-4	75%	10-17	59%	0-1	0%
Mario Chalmers G · 6'2" 190 · 27	30.1	2	17%	2	5	4	0	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-2	0%
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 33	15.6	4	67%	3	0	0	0	0	4	2	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-

Shane Battier F · 6'8" 220 · 34	33.7	5	50%	5	0	0	2	0	2	2	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Ray Allen G · 6'5" 205 · 38	19.8	1	17%	1	2	0	0	2	1	0	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Norris Cole G · 6'2" 175 · 24	17.9	4	50%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35	11.0	1	25%	4	0	0	0	0	4	3	1	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Rashard Lewis F · 6'10" 235 · 33	6.5	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Joel Anthony C · 6'9" 245 · 30	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Mike Miller G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
James Jones G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jarvis Varnado #24 · F-C · 6'9" 230 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Dexter Pittman #45 · C · 6'11" 285 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	59%	34	19	10	4	12	0	7	27	17-23	74%	37-63	59%	3-12	25%

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14 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan G · 6'6" 220 · 23	44.3	27	56%	3	3	0	0	3	2	0	3	14-14	100%	5-14	36%	1-3	33%
Rudy Gay F · 6'8" 230 · 26	41.7	29	58%	4	2	3	1	2	4	1	3	6-7	86%	10-18	56%	1-5	20%
Amir Johnson F · 6'9" 240 · 26	31.1	2	25%	7	2	5	2	2	4	4	3	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Kyle Lowry G · 6'0" 196 · 27	30.9	10	56%	4	3	0	0	5	4	1	3	3-4	75%	2-5	40%	1-2	50%
Aaron Gray C · 7'0" 270 · 28	22.6	6	38%	12	0	0	0	0	2	7	5	0-4	0%	3-6	50%	0-0	-

Alan Anderson F-G · 6'6" 220 · 30	33.2	4	25%	3	3	0	0	3	3	1	2	2-3	67%	1-4	25%	0-3	0%
John Lucas III G · 5'11" 166 · 30	17.1	2	17%	1	1	2	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-2	0%
Terrence Ross G-F · 6'7" 206 · 22	13.7	3	38%	3	1	0	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Jonas Valančiūnas C · 6'11" 265 · 21	5.3	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Landry Fields G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25	\| DND - Acute Back Spasms
Quincy Acy F · 6'7" 240 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Linas Kleiza F · 6'8" 234 · 28	\| DND - Sore Right Knee
Mickael Pietrus F · 6'6" 215 · 31	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Hamed Haddadi #99 · C · 7'2" 265 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Andrea Bargnani #7 · C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	85	46%	38	15	10	3	15	0	14	24	25-32	78%	24-57	42%	4-18	22%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	TOR
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	TOR

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.18 58.8%

TOR

0.91 45.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

23

32

72%

TOR

11

22

50%

Midrange

MIA

14

31

45%

TOR

13

35

37%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

3

4.5

12

25%

38%

TOR

4

6.0

18

22%

33%

Free Throws

MIA

17

23

74%

TOR

25

32

78%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. James	30	71%	15.0 / 21
C. Bosh	28	70%	14.0 / 20
D. Wade	23	61%	11.5 / 19
S. Battier	5	50%	2.5 / 5
U. Haslem	4	67%	2.0 / 3
N. Cole	4	50%	2.0 / 4
M. Chalmers	2	17%	1.0 / 6
R. Lewis	2	100%	1.0 / 1
R. Allen	1	17%	0.5 / 3
C. Andersen	1	25%	0.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Gay	29	58%	14.5 / 25
D. DeRozan	27	56%	13.5 / 24
K. Lowry	10	56%	5.0 / 9
A. Gray	6	38%	3.0 / 8
A. Anderson	4	25%	2.0 / 8
T. Ross	3	38%	1.5 / 4
A. Johnson	2	25%	1.0 / 4
J. Lucas III	2	17%	1.0 / 6
J. Valančiūnas	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	1 112.1 16 105.6	MIA 114.9 +20.5 TOR 94.4
Pace	23 90.9 24 90.7	MIA 88.3 TOR 88.6 +0.3
Avg. Poss. Time	10 16.0 8 16.2	MIA 16.3 TOR 16.2 −0.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	1 55.2% 18 48.8%	MIA 55.3% +15.3% TOR 40.0%
TO %	7 14.5% 6 14.4%	MIA 13.2% −1.2% TOR 14.4%
ORB %	27 22.2% 19 25.6%	MIA 22.6% TOR 34.1% +11.5%
FTrt	8 29.7 13 27.4	MIA 30.7 TOR 42.7 +12.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	13 60.0% 19 59.2%	MIA 47.5% TOR 53.6% +6.1%
STL %	4 9.5% 21 7.9%	MIA 11.5% +0.4% TOR 11.1%
BLK %	9 9.1% 16 7.9%	MIA 7.0% +2.2% TOR 4.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	1 57.0% 16 51.9%	MIA 58.8% +13.1% TOR 45.7%
Rim FG%	1 65.9% 7 59.3%	MIA 71.9% +21.9% TOR 50.0%
Mid FG%	4 41.9% 16 39.2%	MIA 45.2% +8.1% TOR 37.1%
3P %	2 39.6% 26 34.3%	MIA 25.0% +2.8% TOR 22.2%
FT %	16 75.4% 5 78.8%	MIA 73.9% TOR 78.1% +4.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	21 34.8% 27 32.6%	MIA 42.7% +13.3% TOR 29.3%
Mid Att. %	10 36.7% 21 42.5%	MIA 41.3% −5.3% TOR 46.7%
3P Att. %	5 28.5% 10 24.9%	MIA 16.0% TOR 24.0% +8.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.

Game Totals	MIA	TOR
Possessions	87	90
Possession Minutes	23.6	24.4
Points	100	85
Rebounds	34	38
Assists	19	15
Steals	10	10
Blocks	4	3
Turnovers (Team)	12 (1)	15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (2)	14 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (4)	24 (5)
Field Goals	40-75	28-75
At-the-Rim FG	23-32	11-22
Midrange FG	14-31	13-35
2-Point FG	37-63	24-57
3-Point FG	3-12	4-18
Free Throws	17-23	25-32
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg