for complete access.
All Games Sunday, February 3, 2013
FinalWin Prob.pScore
1
Heat
64%99
100
14
Raptors
36%95
85
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
114.98788.3
TOR logo TOR
94.49088.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIATOR
Q4 - 0:00.0TOR100
100%
85
0%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)100
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.0TORMISS Lowry 24' 3PT Jump Bank Shot100
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAJames 23' Jump Shot (30 PTS)100
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:56.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)98
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:58.0TORMISS Gay 24' 3PT Jump Shot98
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 1:08MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (28 PTS)98
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 1:25TORGay 1' Driving Slam Dunk (29 PTS)95
99.8%
85
0.2%
Q4 - 1:28MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS)95
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 1:49TORGay Foul Turnover (P2.T15)92
99.4%
83
0.6%
Q4 - 1:54MIAJohnson STEAL (5 STL)92
99.0%
83
1.0%
Q4 - 2:07MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)92
99.4%
83
0.6%
Q4 - 2:08TORMISS Ross 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
99.3%
83
0.7%
Q4 - 2:20MIAJames Driving Slam Dunk (25 PTS)92
99.0%
83
1.0%
Q4 - 2:25TORLowry Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T14)90
98.6%
83
1.4%
Q4 - 2:42MIABosh 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (James 7 AST)90
97.4%
83
2.6%
Q4 - 2:52MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)87
92.7%
83
7.3%
Q4 - 2:53TORMISS DeRozan 22' Jump Shot87
91.5%
83
8.5%
Q4 - 3:14TORRAPTORS Rebound87
88.3%
83
11.7%
Q4 - 3:15MIAMISS Cole 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
90.0%
83
10.0%
Q4 - 3:38MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)87
90.0%
83
10.0%
Q4 - 3:39TORMISS Ross 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
88.8%
83
11.2%
Q4 - 3:53TORGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)87
85.8%
83
14.2%
Q4 - 3:54MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 287
86.5%
83
13.5%
Q4 - 3:54MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)87
89.3%
83
10.7%
Q4 - 4:20TORDeRozan 1' Driving Slam Dunk (27 PTS) (Lowry 3 AST)86
86.6%
83
13.4%
Q4 - 4:27TORRoss REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)86
90.1%
81
9.9%
Q4 - 4:28MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot86
91.2%
81
8.8%
Q4 - 4:38MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)86
93.4%
81
6.6%
Q4 - 4:39TORMISS Lowry 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup86
92.5%
81
7.5%
Q4 - 4:57MIACole 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)86
90.2%
81
9.8%
Q4 - 5:22TORDeRozan 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Anderson 3 AST)84
84.4%
81
15.6%
Q4 - 5:41MIABosh 2' Running Layup (21 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)84
91.2%
78
8.8%
Q4 - 5:58TORRoss 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lowry 2 AST)82
88.5%
78
11.5%
Q4 - 6:21MIABosh 3' Jump Hook Shot (19 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)82
92.2%
75
7.8%
Q4 - 6:44TORDeRozan 21' Pullup Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Lowry 1 AST)80
90.1%
75
9.9%
Q4 - 7:05MIABosh 1' Running Slam Dunk (17 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)80
91.3%
73
8.7%
Q4 - 7:20TORAnderson Free Throw 3 of 3 (4 PTS)78
89.1%
73
10.9%
Q4 - 7:20TORAnderson Free Throw 2 of 3 (3 PTS)78
89.5%
72
10.5%
Q4 - 7:20TORMISS Anderson Free Throw 1 of 378
89.9%
71
10.1%
Q4 - 7:33TORRoss REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
91.4%
71
8.6%
Q4 - 7:35MIAMISS Battier 1' Tip Shot78
92.1%
71
7.9%
Q4 - 7:37MIABattier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)78
93.5%
71
6.5%
Q4 - 7:38MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot78
92.1%
71
7.9%
Q4 - 7:55MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
93.5%
71
6.5%
Q4 - 7:56TORMISS Gay 17' Jump Shot78
92.9%
71
7.1%
Q4 - 8:07TORLowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)78
90.4%
71
9.6%
Q4 - 8:08MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot78
91.0%
71
9.0%
Q4 - 8:33TORLowry Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)78
92.4%
71
7.6%
Q4 - 8:46TORLowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)78
90.5%
71
9.5%
Q4 - 8:47TORMISS DeRozan 10' Driving Hook Shot78
91.9%
71
8.1%
Q4 - 9:08MIAJames 5' Driving Jump Shot (23 PTS)78
89.4%
71
10.6%
Q4 - 9:24MIAHeat Rebound76
86.9%
71
13.1%
Q4 - 9:24MIAMISS James 22' Jump Shot76
84.9%
71
15.1%
Q4 - 9:37MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)76
86.9%
71
13.1%
Q4 - 9:38TORMISS Lucas III 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
86.1%
71
13.9%
Q4 - 10:00MIACole 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 6 AST)76
84.1%
71
15.9%
Q4 - 10:12MIAHeat Rebound74
79.8%
71
20.2%
Q4 - 10:12TORMISS Gay 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
78.7%
71
21.3%
Q4 - 10:19MIAGay STEAL (2 STL)74
75.9%
71
24.1%
Q4 - 10:26MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)74
79.8%
71
20.2%
Q4 - 10:27MIAMISS James 2' Driving Layup74
77.2%
71
22.8%
Q4 - 10:41TORValanciunas 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (DeRozan 3 AST)74
79.8%
71
20.2%
Q4 - 10:56MIABattier 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)74
83.2%
69
16.8%
Q4 - 11:05MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)71
75.2%
69
24.8%
Q4 - 11:06MIAMISS Andersen 2' Tip Shot71
72.3%
69
27.7%
Q4 - 11:08MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)71
75.2%
69
24.8%
Q4 - 11:08MIAMISS James 17' Pullup Jump Shot71
72.3%
69
27.7%
Q4 - 11:18TORGay 2' Driving Layup (27 PTS)71
75.2%
69
24.8%
Q4 - 11:20TORGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
79.0%
67
21.0%
Q4 - 11:21TORMISS Gay 14' Jump Shot71
81.4%
67
18.6%
Q4 - 11:45MIAAllen Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)71
79.1%
67
20.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0TOR71
82.4%
67
17.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0TORRAPTORS Rebound71
79.1%
67
20.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0TORMISS Gay 26' 3PT Pullup Bank Shot71
81.4%
67
18.6%
Q3 - 0:05.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)71
78.7%
67
21.3%
Q3 - 0:24.0TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)68
70.8%
67
29.2%
Q3 - 0:24.0TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)68
71.4%
66
28.6%
Q3 - 0:35.0MIAAllen Foul Turnover (P1.T9)68
75.0%
65
25.0%
Q3 - 0:40.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
78.5%
65
21.5%
Q3 - 0:42.0TORMISS Anderson 10' Driving Hook Shot68
77.5%
65
22.5%
Q3 - 0:58.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)68
75.0%
65
25.0%
Q3 - 0:58.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)67
74.2%
65
25.8%
Q3 - 1:15TORAnderson 13' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)66
70.8%
65
29.2%
Q3 - 1:27TORRAPTORS Rebound66
74.7%
63
25.3%
Q3 - 1:27TORMISS Anderson 2' Layup66
77.2%
63
22.8%
Q3 - 1:27TORAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
74.7%
63
25.3%
Q3 - 1:28TORMISS Lucas III 5' Running Jump Shot66
77.2%
63
22.8%
Q3 - 1:40TORRAPTORS Rebound66
74.7%
63
25.3%
Q3 - 1:41MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
75.8%
63
24.2%
Q3 - 1:55MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
78.2%
63
21.8%
Q3 - 1:56TORMISS Gay 14' Jump Shot66
77.2%
63
22.8%
Q3 - 2:09TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
74.2%
63
25.8%
Q3 - 2:10MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 266
74.7%
63
25.3%
Q3 - 2:10MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)66
76.6%
63
23.4%
Q3 - 2:20MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
74.3%
63
25.7%
Q3 - 2:21TORMISS Lucas III 22' Pullup Jump Shot65
73.2%
63
26.8%
Q3 - 2:41TORGay Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 2 (25 PTS)65
70.5%
63
29.5%
Q3 - 2:41TORMISS Gay Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 265
71.3%
62
28.7%
Q3 - 2:42MIAGay STEAL (1 STL)65
74.2%
62
25.8%
Q3 - 2:53MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
77.7%
62
22.3%
Q3 - 2:54TORMISS Anderson 3PT Jump Shot65
76.7%
62
23.3%
Q3 - 3:10TORRAPTORS Rebound65
74.2%
62
25.8%
Q3 - 3:12MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
75.3%
62
24.7%
Q3 - 3:20MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
77.6%
62
22.4%
Q3 - 3:21TORMISS Gay 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
76.6%
62
23.4%
Q3 - 3:27TORGray REBOUND (Off:7 Def:5)65
74.2%
62
25.8%
Q3 - 3:28TORMISS DeRozan 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
76.6%
62
23.4%
Q3 - 3:54MIAChalmers 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)65
74.2%
62
25.8%
Q3 - 4:06TORGay 9' Pullup Jump Shot (24 PTS)63
71.0%
62
29.0%
Q3 - 4:15TORAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
73.8%
60
26.2%
Q3 - 4:16MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
75.0%
60
25.0%
Q3 - 4:32TORGay Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)63
77.5%
60
22.5%
Q3 - 4:32TORGay Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)63
78.1%
59
21.9%
Q3 - 4:49MIAWade 9' Driving Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)63
80.0%
58
20.0%
Q3 - 5:02TORLucas III 11' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (DeRozan 2 AST)61
77.1%
58
22.9%
Q3 - 5:26MIAWade 14' Step Back Jump Shot (21 PTS)61
79.5%
56
20.5%
Q3 - 5:40TORGray 1' Tip Shot (6 PTS)59
77.1%
56
22.9%
Q3 - 5:42TORGray REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)59
79.5%
54
20.5%
Q3 - 5:43TORMISS Gray 2' Tip Shot59
81.6%
54
18.4%
Q3 - 5:45TORGray REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)59
79.5%
54
20.5%
Q3 - 5:46TORMISS DeRozan 3' Driving Layup59
81.6%
54
18.4%
Q3 - 6:06MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)59
79.3%
54
20.7%
Q3 - 6:06MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 258
78.8%
54
21.2%
Q3 - 6:10TORAnderson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)58
79.7%
54
20.3%
Q3 - 6:36MIABosh 1' Running Slam Dunk (15 PTS) (James 5 AST)58
76.6%
54
23.4%
Q3 - 6:57TORDeRozan 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T11)56
74.0%
54
26.0%
Q3 - 7:21MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (James 4 AST)56
70.2%
54
29.8%
Q3 - 7:38MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
67.1%
54
32.9%
Q3 - 7:40TORMISS Gray Free Throw 2 of 254
66.6%
54
33.4%
Q3 - 7:40TORMISS Gray Free Throw 1 of 254
64.9%
54
35.1%
Q3 - 7:40TORGray REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)54
63.3%
54
36.7%
Q3 - 7:41TORMISS Lucas III 21' Jump Shot54
66.0%
54
34.0%
Q3 - 8:00MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)54
63.3%
54
36.7%
Q3 - 8:00MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 253
62.6%
54
37.4%
Q3 - 8:04TORAnderson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)53
63.8%
54
36.2%
Q3 - 8:20MIAWade 2' Layup (18 PTS)53
59.9%
54
40.1%
Q3 - 8:41TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)51
56.6%
54
43.4%
Q3 - 8:41TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)51
57.1%
53
42.9%
Q3 - 8:57MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)51
59.9%
52
40.1%
Q3 - 9:13MIAHeat Rebound48
53.2%
52
46.8%
Q3 - 9:13TORMISS Gay 16' Pullup Jump Shot48
52.0%
52
48.0%
Q3 - 9:21MIAHaslem 1' Running Dunk (4 PTS)48
49.3%
52
50.7%
Q3 - 9:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)46
45.9%
52
54.1%
Q3 - 9:24MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup46
43.2%
52
56.8%
Q3 - 9:28TORDeRozan Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)46
45.9%
52
54.1%
Q3 - 9:42TORRAPTORS Rebound46
42.0%
52
58.0%
Q3 - 9:42MIAMISS Chalmers 11' Jump Shot46
43.2%
52
56.8%
Q3 - 9:59TORLowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)46
45.9%
52
54.1%
Q3 - 9:59TORLowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)46
46.4%
51
53.6%
Q3 - 10:03TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
50.5%
50
49.5%
Q3 - 10:04MIAMISS Wade 4' Driving Hook Shot46
51.7%
50
48.3%
Q3 - 10:14TORGay Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)46
54.3%
50
45.7%
Q3 - 10:26TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)46
50.4%
50
49.6%
Q3 - 10:27MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot46
51.6%
50
48.4%
Q3 - 10:39MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
54.2%
50
45.8%
Q3 - 10:41TORMISS Johnson 3' Layup46
53.0%
50
47.0%
Q3 - 10:58TORGray REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)46
50.4%
50
49.6%
Q3 - 10:59MIAMISS Wade 6' Driving Jump Shot46
51.5%
50
48.5%
Q3 - 11:04TORLowry Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)46
55.3%
50
44.7%
Q3 - 11:27MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)46
51.7%
50
48.3%
Q3 - 11:42MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
48.4%
50
51.6%
Q3 - 11:44TORMISS DeRozan 11' Turnaround Jump Shot44
47.3%
50
52.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0TOR44
44.8%
50
55.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORRAPTORS Rebound44
44.8%
50
55.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORMISS DeRozan 7' Floating Jump Shot44
47.3%
50
52.7%
Q2 - 0:14.0TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
46.5%
50
53.5%
Q2 - 0:16.0MIAMISS James 16' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot44
47.2%
50
52.8%
Q2 - 0:35.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
48.9%
50
51.1%
Q2 - 0:37.0TORMISS DeRozan 14' Pullup Jump Shot44
48.1%
50
51.9%
Q2 - 0:58.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)44
46.4%
50
53.6%
Q2 - 0:58.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)43
45.7%
50
54.3%
Q2 - 1:12TORJohnson Foul Turnover (P2.T6)42
43.0%
50
57.0%
Q2 - 1:22MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)42
40.9%
50
59.1%
Q2 - 1:25MIAHeat Rebound42
42.9%
50
57.1%
Q2 - 1:25MIAGay BLOCK (1 BLK)42
41.5%
50
58.5%
Q2 - 1:47TORAnderson Foul Turnover (P1.T5)42
42.9%
50
57.1%
Q2 - 1:53MIAJohnson STEAL (4 STL)42
40.9%
50
59.1%
Q2 - 2:02MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
44.5%
50
55.5%
Q2 - 2:03TORMISS DeRozan 14' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot42
43.5%
50
56.5%
Q2 - 2:22TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)42
41.4%
50
58.6%
Q2 - 2:23MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
42.3%
50
57.7%
Q2 - 2:41TORGay 8' Pullup Jump Shot (20 PTS)42
44.3%
50
55.7%
Q2 - 3:03MIAHaslem 2' Layup (2 PTS)42
48.3%
48
51.7%
Q2 - 3:05MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
45.8%
48
54.2%
Q2 - 3:07MIAJohnson BLOCK (2 BLK)40
43.4%
48
56.6%
Q2 - 3:20TORLowry 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)40
45.8%
48
54.2%
Q2 - 3:29MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (16 PTS)40
51.3%
45
48.7%
Q2 - 3:45TORGay Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)38
48.7%
45
51.3%
Q2 - 3:45TORGay Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)38
49.3%
44
50.7%
Q2 - 4:07MIAWade 17' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)38
52.1%
43
47.9%
Q2 - 4:17TORGay 1' Driving Layup (16 PTS) (DeRozan 1 AST)36
49.5%
43
50.5%
Q2 - 4:28MIAWade 1' Running Layup (12 PTS) (James 3 AST)36
52.1%
41
47.9%
Q2 - 4:48TORLowry 2' Running Layup (5 PTS) (Gay 2 AST)34
49.4%
41
50.6%
Q2 - 5:04TORGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
53.0%
39
47.0%
Q2 - 5:05MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup34
53.8%
39
46.2%
Q2 - 5:19TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)34
55.7%
39
44.3%
Q2 - 5:19TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)34
56.2%
38
43.8%
Q2 - 5:30TORRAPTORS Rebound34
58.5%
37
41.5%
Q2 - 5:30TORMISS Johnson 2' Tip Shot34
60.4%
37
39.6%
Q2 - 5:30TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)34
58.5%
37
41.5%
Q2 - 5:31TORMISS Johnson 3' Layup34
60.4%
37
39.6%
Q2 - 5:59MIAWade 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS)34
58.5%
37
41.5%
Q2 - 6:18TORDeRozan 18' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Ross 1 AST)32
56.3%
37
43.7%
Q2 - 6:35MIAJames 3' Layup (13 PTS)32
58.5%
35
41.5%
Q2 - 6:48MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
56.3%
35
43.7%
Q2 - 6:49TORMISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
55.3%
35
44.7%
Q2 - 7:13MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)30
53.9%
35
46.1%
Q2 - 7:13MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)29
53.4%
35
46.6%
Q2 - 7:26TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)28
51.6%
35
48.4%
Q2 - 7:26TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)28
52.0%
34
48.0%
Q2 - 7:30TORRoss REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
53.9%
33
46.1%
Q2 - 7:31MIAMISS Wade 9' Driving Hook Shot28
54.8%
33
45.2%
Q2 - 7:44TORGray 1' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS)28
56.9%
33
43.1%
Q2 - 7:47TORGray REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)28
59.1%
31
40.9%
Q2 - 7:49TORMISS Anderson 3' Driving Layup28
61.1%
31
38.9%
Q2 - 7:59TORGray REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)28
59.1%
31
40.9%
Q2 - 8:01MIAMISS Cole 19' Step Back Jump Shot28
60.3%
31
39.7%
Q2 - 8:22MIAHeat Rebound28
62.1%
31
37.9%
Q2 - 8:23TORMISS Ross 21' Jump Shot28
61.3%
31
38.7%
Q2 - 8:40MIALucas III STEAL (2 STL)28
59.5%
31
40.5%
Q2 - 8:51MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
62.1%
31
37.9%
Q2 - 8:52TORMISS Gay 21' Jump Shot28
61.3%
31
38.7%
Q2 - 9:07MIALewis 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)28
59.9%
31
40.1%
Q2 - 9:25TORGay 1' Driving Layup (14 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)26
57.7%
31
42.3%
Q2 - 9:36TORGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
59.9%
29
40.1%
Q2 - 9:38MIAMISS Bosh 12' Jump Shot26
60.7%
29
39.3%
Q2 - 9:49TORGay Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)26
62.4%
29
37.6%
Q2 - 10:04MIALucas III STEAL (1 STL)26
66.7%
26
33.3%
Q2 - 10:22TORGay 6' Jump Hook Shot (9 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)26
69.2%
26
30.8%
Q2 - 10:30TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)26
70.9%
24
29.1%
Q2 - 10:31TORMISS Gay 22' Jump Shot26
72.5%
24
27.5%
Q2 - 10:58MIABosh 11' Turnaround Fadeaway (6 PTS)26
70.9%
24
29.1%
Q2 - 11:12MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
68.8%
24
31.2%
Q2 - 11:13TORMISS Lucas III 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
68.2%
24
31.8%
Q2 - 11:20TORLucas III REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
66.6%
24
33.4%
Q2 - 11:22MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot24
67.3%
24
32.7%
Q2 - 11:42TORGay 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Lucas III 1 AST)24
68.9%
24
31.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0TOR24
72.8%
21
27.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS)24
72.9%
21
27.1%
Q1 - 0:15.0MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
70.5%
21
29.5%
Q1 - 0:19.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 222
69.1%
21
30.9%
Q1 - 0:19.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)22
70.5%
21
29.5%
Q1 - 0:30.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
68.4%
21
31.6%
Q1 - 0:31.0TORMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot21
68.0%
21
32.0%
Q1 - 0:37.0TORAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
66.8%
21
33.2%
Q1 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
67.3%
21
32.7%
Q1 - 0:56.0TORJohnson 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Gay 1 AST)21
68.5%
21
31.5%
Q1 - 1:05TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
71.0%
19
29.0%
Q1 - 1:06MIAJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)21
71.5%
19
28.5%
Q1 - 1:15MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
72.4%
19
27.6%
Q1 - 1:18TORMISS Gay 10' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot21
72.0%
19
28.0%
Q1 - 1:45MIABattier 10' Driving Hook Shot (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)21
71.0%
19
29.0%
Q1 - 2:06TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)19
69.0%
19
31.0%
Q1 - 2:06TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)19
69.3%
18
30.7%
Q1 - 2:19MIAJohnson STEAL (3 STL)19
71.0%
17
29.0%
Q1 - 2:25MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
72.7%
17
27.3%
Q1 - 2:27TORMISS Lowry 16' Jump Shot19
72.2%
17
27.8%
Q1 - 2:48MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)19
71.0%
17
29.0%
Q1 - 2:48MIAMISS Allen Free Throw 1 of 218
70.8%
17
29.2%
Q1 - 3:07TORDeRozan 13' Turnaround Fadeaway (8 PTS)18
71.2%
17
28.8%
Q1 - 3:43TORRAPTORS Rebound16
69.2%
15
30.8%
Q1 - 3:43TORLowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)16
71.2%
15
28.8%
Q1 - 3:43TORMISS Lowry Free Throw 1 of 216
71.5%
14
28.5%
Q1 - 3:44MIAMISS Chalmers 11' Driving Hook Shot16
71.7%
14
28.3%
Q1 - 4:07TORLowry 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)16
73.0%
14
27.0%
Q1 - 4:20TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
74.6%
12
25.4%
Q1 - 4:21MIAMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
75.2%
12
24.8%
Q1 - 4:32TORGay 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)16
76.4%
12
23.6%
Q1 - 4:49TORGray REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)16
77.8%
10
22.2%
Q1 - 4:50MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot16
78.3%
10
21.7%
Q1 - 5:08TORDeRozan 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)16
78.7%
10
21.3%
Q1 - 5:23MIAJohnson STEAL (2 STL)16
80.0%
8
20.0%
Q1 - 5:25TORJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)16
81.4%
8
18.6%
Q1 - 5:32MIAJohnson STEAL (1 STL)16
80.1%
8
19.9%
Q1 - 5:44MIAHeat Rebound16
81.5%
8
18.5%
Q1 - 5:44TORMISS Lowry 9' Driving Jump Shot16
81.0%
8
19.0%
Q1 - 5:50TORGray REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)16
80.1%
8
19.9%
Q1 - 5:52MIAMISS Bosh 5' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot16
80.5%
8
19.5%
Q1 - 6:04TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)16
81.0%
8
19.0%
Q1 - 6:04TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
81.2%
7
18.8%
Q1 - 6:11MIAJames 1' Driving Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)16
82.1%
6
17.9%
Q1 - 6:14TORLowry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)14
81.0%
6
19.0%
Q1 - 6:30MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)14
79.6%
6
20.4%
Q1 - 6:46TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)11
77.0%
6
23.0%
Q1 - 6:46TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)11
77.2%
5
22.8%
Q1 - 7:01TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)11
78.0%
4
22.0%
Q1 - 7:02MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot11
78.5%
4
21.5%
Q1 - 7:18TORLowry Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)11
79.6%
4
20.4%
Q1 - 7:32MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)11
78.1%
4
21.9%
Q1 - 7:50MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
75.5%
4
24.5%
Q1 - 7:51TORMISS Gray 2' Running Reverse Layup8
75.0%
4
25.0%
Q1 - 8:09TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
74.2%
4
25.8%
Q1 - 8:10MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot8
74.7%
4
25.3%
Q1 - 8:23MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
75.7%
4
24.3%
Q1 - 8:25TORMISS DeRozan 20' Jump Shot8
75.2%
4
24.8%
Q1 - 8:33TORGray REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)8
74.2%
4
25.8%
Q1 - 8:35MIAMISS Bosh 15' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot8
74.6%
4
25.4%
Q1 - 9:03TORGray 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)8
75.7%
4
24.3%
Q1 - 9:17TORGray REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)8
77.0%
2
23.0%
Q1 - 9:18TORMISS Gray 1' Tip Shot8
77.9%
2
22.1%
Q1 - 9:19TORGray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
77.0%
2
23.0%
Q1 - 9:20TORMISS Gay 15' Jump Shot8
77.9%
2
22.1%
Q1 - 9:33TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)8
77.0%
2
23.0%
Q1 - 9:34TORMISS DeRozan 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
77.9%
2
22.1%
Q1 - 10:00MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 1 AST)8
77.0%
2
23.0%
Q1 - 10:16TORGay 16' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS)6
75.5%
2
24.5%
Q1 - 10:22TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
76.6%
0
23.4%
Q1 - 10:23TORMISS DeRozan 16' Jump Shot6
77.6%
0
22.4%
Q1 - 10:39MIAWade 17' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
76.6%
0
23.4%
Q1 - 11:01MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
75.1%
0
24.9%
Q1 - 11:01TORMISS Gray Free Throw 2 of 24
75.0%
0
25.0%
Q1 - 11:01TORMISS Gray Free Throw 1 of 24
74.3%
0
25.7%
Q1 - 11:22MIAJames 1' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)4
74.0%
0
26.0%
Q1 - 11:27TORDeRozan Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
72.6%
0
27.4%
Q1 - 11:43MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
71.4%
0
28.6%
Q1 - 12:00TORJump Ball Johnson vs. Bosh: Tip to Haslem0
69.9%
0
30.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.18 58.8%
TOR
0.91 45.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
23
32
72%
TOR
11
22
50%
Midrange
MIA
14
31
45%
TOR
13
35
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
3
4.5
12
25%
38%
TOR
4
6.0
18
22%
33%
Free Throws
MIA
17
23
74%
TOR
25
32
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3071%15.0 / 21
C. Bosh2870%14.0 / 20
D. Wade2361%11.5 / 19
S. Battier550%2.5 / 5
U. Haslem467%2.0 / 3
N. Cole450%2.0 / 4
M. Chalmers217%1.0 / 6
R. Lewis2100%1.0 / 1
R. Allen117%0.5 / 3
C. Andersen125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Gay2958%14.5 / 25
D. DeRozan2756%13.5 / 24
K. Lowry1056%5.0 / 9
A. Gray638%3.0 / 8
A. Anderson425%2.0 / 8
T. Ross338%1.5 / 4
A. Johnson225%1.0 / 4
J. Lucas III217%1.0 / 6
J. Valančiūnas2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
75
+9
-12
84
TOR
75
+18
-15
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.18 58.8%
TOR
0.91 45.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.1
105.6
MIA 114.9
TOR 94.4 +20.5
Pace
90.9
90.7
MIA 88.3
TOR 88.6 +0.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
16.2
MIA 16.3
TOR 16.2 +0.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.2%
48.8%
MIA 55.3% +15.3%
TOR 40.0%
TO %
14.5%
14.4%
MIA 13.2% +1.2%
TOR 14.4%
ORB %
22.2%
25.6%
MIA 22.6%
TOR 34.1% +11.5%
FTrt
29.7
27.4
MIA 30.7
TOR 42.7 +12.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.0%
59.2%
MIA 47.5%
TOR 53.6% +6.1%
STL %
9.5%
7.9%
MIA 11.5% +0.4%
TOR 11.1%
BLK %
9.1%
7.9%
MIA 7.0% +2.2%
TOR 4.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.0%
51.9%
MIA 58.8% +13.1%
TOR 45.7%
Rim FG%
65.9%
59.3%
MIA 71.9% +21.9%
TOR 50.0%
Mid FG%
41.9%
39.2%
MIA 45.2% +8.1%
TOR 37.1%
3P %
39.6%
34.3%
MIA 25.0% +2.8%
TOR 22.2%
FT %
75.4%
78.8%
MIA 73.9%
TOR 78.1% +4.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.8%
32.6%
MIA 42.7% +13.3%
TOR 29.3%
Mid Att. %
36.7%
42.5%
MIA 41.3% +5.3%
TOR 46.7%
3P Att. %
28.5%
24.9%
MIA 16.0%
TOR 24.0% +8.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.68 and 2.68.
Game TotalsMIATOR
Possessions8790
Possession Minutes23.624.4
Points10085
Rebounds3438
Assists1915
Steals1010
Blocks43
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (2)14 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (4)24 (5)
Field Goals40-7528-75
At-the-Rim FG23-3211-22
Midrange FG14-3113-35
2-Point FG37-6324-57
3-Point FG3-124-18
Free Throws17-2325-32
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
1 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
LeBron James
F · 6'9" 250 · 28
39.7
30
71%
8
7
2
0
3
1
0
8
9-11
82%
9-14
64%
1-2
50%
Chris Bosh
C · 6'11" 235 · 29
33.7
28
70%
5
0
1
1
3
3
0
5
3-4
75%
11-18
61%
1-1
100%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 31
31.9
23
61%
5
5
3
1
3
3
0
5
3-4
75%
10-17
59%
0-1
0%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 27
30.1
2
17%
2
5
4
0
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-2
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 33
15.6
4
67%
3
0
0
0
0
4
2
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 34
33.7
5
50%
5
0
0
2
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 38
19.8
1
17%
1
2
0
0
2
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-2
0%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 24
17.9
4
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35
11.0
1
25%
4
0
0
0
0
4
3
1
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 33
6.5
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 30
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32
Jarvis Varnado
#24 · F-C · 6'9" 230 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Dexter Pittman
#45 · C · 6'11" 285 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
100
59%
34
19
10
4
12
0
7
27
17-23
74%
37-63
59%
3-12
25%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.