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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 4, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Magic39%9361
2576ers61%9778
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.7
43.3
31.3
10
36%
5
2
2
1
1
2
1
4
2-2
100%
4-11
3-6
36%
50%
0-2
0%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 23.9
37.3
25.8
18
53%
3
2
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
9-13
3-6
69%
45%
0-4
0%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 25.9
33.4
9.8
5
21%
6
6
0
0
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
1-7
1-1
14%
50%
1-5
20%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.3
30.8
32.1
9
38%
14
0
0
1
0
1
4
10
3-4
75%
3-10
5-11
30%
51%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.6
26.0
14.4
4
20%
3
2
0
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
2-10
1-4
20%
40%
0-0
-
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.2
27.5
14.4
11
56%
6
0
0
0
0
0
2
4
1-2
50%
5-9
3-6
56%
49%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 33.9
18.0
11.6
0
0%
4
6
1
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 22.9
17.3
7.6
2
33%
4
1
0
0
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
48%
0-0
-
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 27.8
6.5
8.2
2
33%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
51%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 28.6
35.5
1
3-6
48%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 31.0
21.2
1
2-4
46%
DeQuan Jones
F · 6'8" 221 · 22.6
14.5
0
1-3
46%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 27.1
12.2
0
2-5
45%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.3
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 33.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 22.7
40.8
40.2
13
41%
4
14
1
2
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
6-14
8-16
43%
49%
0-1
0%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 24.8
36.9
30.2
21
57%
14
3
0
0
1
2
1
13
2-3
67%
8-14
5-9
57%
51%
1-3
33%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 27.7
36.3
32.6
15
50%
6
2
4
1
2
2
1
5
0-0
-
6-8
4-8
75%
46%
1-7
14%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 24.3
31.5
33.8
4
33%
7
5
2
1
0
2
0
7
0-0
-
2-4
5-10
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.6
15.2
37.8
6
60%
5
0
0
2
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
3-5
7-14
60%
54%
0-0
-
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 24.0
30.4
20.5
10
56%
6
0
1
0
3
0
1
5
0-0
-
5-9
3-6
56%
51%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 31.1
19.7
17.1
5
63%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
43%
1-3
33%
Arnett Moultrie
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.2
11.7
1.2
4
67%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
0-0
67%
50%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 33.1
9.4
6.2
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 27.2
6.4
13.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-3
0%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 22.8
1.6
0.9
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 32.0
6.7
0
1-1
49%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 30.9
3.9
0
0-1
53%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 25.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.