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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 4, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Clippers57%9590
24Wizards43%9398
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 24.5
40.0
24.8
7
72%
22
1
1
1
2
1
3
19
1-2
50%
3-4
4-6
75%
60%
0-0
-
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 23.2
36.1
34.5
17
55%
1
9
1
2
2
4
0
1
3-3
100%
7-14
5-11
50%
47%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 32.9
32.6
28.4
15
44%
6
2
1
1
0
4
2
4
2-2
100%
5-10
3-6
50%
45%
1-6
17%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 33.2
31.4
22.4
3
39%
9
1
0
1
0
5
1
8
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 31.5
17.4
17.4
6
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
48%
0-1
0%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 32.9
32.6
30.1
28
62%
3
3
1
1
1
2
1
2
5-6
83%
7-13
4-9
54%
45%
3-7
43%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 40.3
18.4
12.8
6
60%
1
3
1
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
47%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 32.9
18.3
18.2
8
40%
2
1
1
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
4-8
2-3
50%
53%
0-2
0%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 30.1
13.2
8.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
55%
0-0
-
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 23.9
34.7
1
8-14
53%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 27.8
10.3
1
1-3
51%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 28.3
3.0
0
0-1
53%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 36.4
Trey Thompkins
F · 6'10" 245 · 22.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 26.7
36.9
11.9
15
58%
3
2
3
0
3
2
0
3
1-2
50%
7-12
1-2
58%
44%
0-0
-
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 26.2
34.1
30.1
21
89%
5
3
1
1
0
0
1
4
4-4
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
47%
5-6
83%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 30.4
32.3
29.2
15
53%
7
4
0
1
0
2
3
4
5-7
71%
5-11
6-11
45%
53%
0-0
-
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.4
32.1
29.0
13
34%
1
8
1
1
0
2
0
1
1-3
33%
6-18
5-11
33%
44%
0-0
-
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 30.4
26.4
27.4
9
42%
15
2
1
1
0
0
6
9
1-4
25%
4-9
4-8
44%
52%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 27.6
25.2
23.6
10
60%
6
3
2
1
2
2
2
4
3-3
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
44%
1-2
50%
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 23.2
16.2
8.2
4
50%
2
0
2
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
43%
0-1
0%
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.3
15.8
20.5
5
51%
2
4
1
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
2-3
1-3
67%
43%
0-1
0%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 23.2
15.7
19.9
3
22%
3
1
0
0
1
1
0
3
1-2
50%
1-6
4-8
17%
47%
0-0
-
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 24.3
5.2
18.2
3
50%
0
0
0
1
2
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
45%
1-2
50%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 19.6
11.0
0
1-3
43%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.2
6.7
0
1-2
51%
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 22.8
5.3
0
1-1
51%
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.