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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 4, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Bobcats10%9094
1Heat90%10799
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.2
37.6
22.8
12
51%
7
1
2
1
0
1
3
4
2-2
100%
5-10
3-8
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Jeffery Taylor
· 6'7" 225 · 23.7
28.4
22.0
10
63%
2
0
1
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
45%
2-5
40%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 20.4
23.4
29.3
2
25%
9
1
0
0
1
2
4
5
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
45%
0-0
-
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 22.7
22.0
38.4
11
56%
3
3
2
2
0
3
2
1
2-2
100%
3-5
5-12
60%
43%
1-4
25%
Jeff Adrien
· 6'7" 245 · 27.0
14.8
21.1
8
54%
3
1
0
0
1
2
0
3
0-1
0%
4-7
2-4
57%
43%
0-0
-
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.8
35.8
29.3
18
67%
3
2
1
1
1
2
0
3
10-10
100%
4-8
4-10
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 24.0
28.1
29.9
12
43%
9
1
2
1
1
2
2
7
0-0
-
3-9
3-7
33%
43%
2-5
40%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.8
27.8
21.4
16
46%
1
4
0
0
0
1
1
0
2-3
67%
4-9
3-7
44%
45%
2-7
29%
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 26.4
13.3
2.3
3
75%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
49%
1-2
50%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 33.2
8.9
16.3
2
114%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-3
-
50%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.5
6.9
0
1-2
40%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 30.6
5.5
0
1-2
44%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 31.0
2.4
0
0-0
40%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 19.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 28.1
38.0
38.0
31
93%
8
8
2
2
0
5
0
8
5-6
83%
13-14
9-15
93%
58%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 31.1
38.0
34.4
20
43%
12
4
1
1
2
5
6
6
6-10
60%
7-18
8-14
39%
54%
0-1
0%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 28.9
29.9
33.0
23
60%
4
1
1
1
0
0
2
2
1-3
33%
11-18
6-11
61%
54%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.7
21.1
26.0
3
23%
1
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
1-1
100%
1-3
2-3
33%
50%
0-3
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.7
17.9
18.8
2
50%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.3
29.2
16.1
4
33%
2
5
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
46%
0-0
-
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 37.5
26.1
21.9
7
38%
0
1
1
1
2
0
0
0
3-3
100%
2-4
2-3
50%
52%
0-4
0%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 34.4
24.2
26.8
5
50%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
48%
1-4
25%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34.6
15.6
9.8
4
58%
6
1
1
0
0
1
1
5
0-1
0%
2-3
1-2
67%
57%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 33.5
6.4
0
0-1
51%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 30.5
5.2
0
0-1
54%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.0
3.9
0
0-0
48%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.3
2.1
0
0-0
42%
Jarvis Varnado
F-C · 6'9" 230 · 24.9
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 24.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.