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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 4, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Mavericks26%9691
2Thunder74%104112
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.3
33.1
35.7
8
40%
4
6
0
1
0
5
0
4
0-0
-
4-6
4-9
67%
45%
0-4
0%
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 28.0
27.5
14.7
2
33%
6
0
1
0
4
0
4
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
0-0
-
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 34.6
26.7
16.0
10
39%
3
3
0
0
1
1
0
3
4-4
100%
3-8
3-5
38%
47%
0-3
0%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 34.7
26.3
30.7
23
77%
1
0
3
1
2
1
0
1
2-2
100%
9-12
5-10
75%
48%
1-2
50%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.5
23.9
29.8
8
51%
2
4
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
3-7
3-7
43%
47%
0-0
-
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.6
28.0
15.8
10
41%
2
1
2
1
0
0
0
2
3-3
100%
2-7
1-2
29%
44%
1-4
25%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.3
16.3
16.6
4
50%
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
7
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
56%
0-0
-
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.3
14.4
3.2
15
68%
2
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
5-7
71%
5-8
0-1
63%
41%
0-0
-
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 33.9
13.8
22.2
4
25%
7
1
1
1
1
2
1
6
0-2
0%
2-7
3-7
29%
47%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 37.6
12.1
7.3
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
39%
0-0
-
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.9
9.6
11.2
7
50%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 32.1
8.2
9.3
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 36.0
26.2
1
2-5
44%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 30.8
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 21.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.2
29.5
33.6
24
60%
3
7
3
2
0
3
0
3
8-9
89%
8-15
7-14
53%
48%
0-1
0%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.4
28.5
36.7
19
70%
10
4
2
1
1
3
0
10
5-6
83%
4-9
7-13
44%
55%
2-2
100%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.4
27.3
29.1
12
68%
5
1
0
0
1
2
1
4
3-4
75%
3-6
5-8
50%
56%
1-1
100%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.8
24.9
24.3
7
39%
3
0
2
1
2
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
54%
1-6
17%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 28.2
22.4
27.0
7
74%
7
2
1
0
0
0
2
5
3-4
75%
2-3
2-4
67%
51%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 30.0
22.0
28.5
17
71%
0
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
4-7
3-5
57%
48%
3-5
60%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 22.8
20.7
12.1
8
51%
3
6
1
0
0
2
0
3
0-2
0%
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
2-5
40%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 32.3
14.7
23.2
4
67%
4
2
0
1
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
3-4
67%
60%
0-0
-
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 24.8
12.0
5.3
5
51%
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
2-3
0-1
67%
50%
0-1
0%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 26.0
10.9
10.0
6
60%
4
0
0
0
3
0
0
4
0-0
-
3-5
1-1
60%
56%
0-0
-
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 21.4
10.4
4.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-1
0%
53%
0-1
0%
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.7
9.2
2.8
3
30%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
40%
1-3
33%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 22.5
7.6
0.7
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
55%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 20.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.