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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 4, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Kings31%9791
18Jazz69%10498
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 26.5
45.0
21.2
23
53%
10
0
2
0
1
1
5
5
5-8
63%
9-18
3-7
50%
51%
0-0
-
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.4
39.7
33.9
20
52%
2
3
0
1
0
2
2
0
6-10
60%
7-12
5-11
58%
48%
0-3
0%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 24.0
37.8
30.1
17
59%
2
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
3-3
100%
4-9
4-8
44%
49%
2-4
50%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 33.1
36.4
24.6
2
11%
3
2
1
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
46%
0-4
0%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.5
19.1
31.6
10
63%
6
2
2
1
1
3
0
6
0-0
-
5-8
6-13
63%
45%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 29.7
26.3
8.8
2
50%
5
1
1
0
0
1
3
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
46%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 25.7
25.5
17.3
9
35%
3
1
2
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
48%
1-6
17%
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 21.9
14.8
18.6
4
50%
4
0
0
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
47%
0-0
-
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.9
13.1
14.8
2
17%
2
1
1
0
0
3
1
1
2-2
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
43%
0-3
0%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.0
7.4
4.7
2
100%
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 31.1
19.8
1
1-2
46%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 28.4
9.4
0
1-2
42%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 28.1
6.5
0
1-1
48%
Tyler Honeycutt
F · 6'8" 188 · 22.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 26.6
41.5
28.4
8
68%
6
2
0
1
0
1
0
6
2-2
100%
0-2
3-5
0%
50%
2-3
67%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 28.1
38.0
32.5
15
42%
12
5
1
1
2
4
1
11
1-2
50%
7-16
8-15
44%
52%
0-1
0%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 28.0
36.3
31.6
14
59%
4
2
3
1
3
2
0
4
2-2
100%
6-11
6-12
55%
52%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 29.4
36.1
32.8
20
68%
0
6
0
1
0
3
0
0
5-6
83%
3-7
2-5
43%
44%
3-5
60%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 34.9
21.8
22.6
0
0%
1
5
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
45%
0-1
0%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 21.5
31.2
18.1
14
89%
3
4
2
1
1
4
0
3
2-2
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
46%
2-2
100%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 21.6
23.8
22.0
13
74%
9
1
1
1
1
1
2
7
3-4
75%
5-7
4-7
71%
52%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.5
21.9
15.5
10
63%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
5-8
2-4
63%
51%
0-0
-
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 20.7
14.4
10.0
4
50%
4
0
1
0
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
55%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 33.7
15.1
1
1-1
45%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 22.9
9.1
0
1-3
49%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 25.3
2.2
0
0-0
57%
Kevin Murphy
G · 6'6" 185 · 22.9
1.8
0
0-0
50%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 30.1
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 36.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.