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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 5, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Hawks39%90103
9Pacers61%94114
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 31.9
39.2
35.0
10
36%
1
8
1
1
1
3
1
0
2-2
100%
1-4
1-2
25%
44%
2-9
22%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 27.2
38.5
36.3
9
38%
10
0
0
1
1
4
1
9
0-0
-
3-10
6-12
30%
47%
1-2
50%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 24.7
35.9
33.3
24
60%
2
8
1
1
0
4
0
2
5-7
71%
8-16
4-8
50%
48%
1-1
100%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.7
27.6
37.9
15
61%
8
2
1
1
1
2
2
6
1-3
33%
7-11
7-13
64%
52%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 31.8
19.4
17.1
6
75%
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
39%
2-3
67%
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 21.9
20.4
16.6
14
74%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
9-10
90%
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
1-3
33%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 33.3
19.1
11.5
9
57%
2
5
1
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
39%
1-3
33%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 27.0
15.0
2.5
10
73%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
4-6
0-1
67%
42%
0-0
-
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 24.6
11.9
3.3
6
77%
6
1
0
0
0
0
1
5
2-2
100%
2-3
0-1
67%
44%
0-0
-
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 28.8
11.3
18.1
0
0%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
49%
0-0
-
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.7
1.8
8.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 29.9
14.7
1
1-2
48%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.4
4.2
0
0-1
45%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.3
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 29.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.8
39.0
40.9
29
63%
5
4
1
2
0
2
0
5
8-9
89%
3-10
5-10
30%
48%
5-9
56%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.4
35.1
33.7
15
57%
7
4
5
1
3
5
2
5
5-5
100%
5-11
7-14
45%
50%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 26.8
34.1
35.9
15
48%
3
8
0
1
0
1
1
2
6-8
75%
3-8
3-7
38%
49%
1-4
25%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 26.2
30.4
29.3
12
75%
8
4
0
1
3
2
2
6
0-0
-
6-8
5-10
75%
46%
0-0
-
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 22.4
30.4
33.6
14
64%
6
3
0
1
1
1
0
6
2-2
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
50%
2-6
33%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 26.3
15.9
16.6
12
85%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
4-7
57%
4-4
2-4
100%
50%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 25.2
15.7
12.7
10
68%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-3
67%
1-2
1-1
50%
42%
2-4
50%
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 27.7
14.8
10.0
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 27.3
12.9
13.1
4
43%
0
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
4-6
67%
0-2
2-4
0%
44%
0-0
-
Orlando Johnson
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.9
8.3
8.1
3
150%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
1-1
100%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.8
1.6
2.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Ben Hansbrough
G · 6'3" 203 · 25.1
1.6
1.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 27.0
4.4
0
0-1
46%
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 24.4
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 29.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.