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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 5, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Lakers47%10092
13Nets53%10183
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 25.1
40.5
34.6
14
68%
12
0
1
1
1
0
2
10
2-3
67%
6-8
4-8
75%
44%
0-1
0%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 34.5
37.3
36.1
21
41%
8
4
4
1
1
5
1
7
3-3
100%
9-22
6-13
41%
49%
0-2
0%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 36.7
37.2
21.5
9
56%
8
1
0
1
1
0
0
8
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
47%
1-3
33%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 32.6
34.0
34.7
15
42%
4
2
0
1
2
2
1
3
3-4
75%
6-16
5-11
38%
49%
0-0
-
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 39.0
34.0
32.4
17
62%
4
8
0
1
0
2
0
4
5-6
83%
6-10
3-5
60%
54%
0-1
0%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.5
23.7
12.2
5
42%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
1-4
25%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 32.9
17.3
15.8
7
58%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-1
50%
40%
1-2
50%
Robert Sacre
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.7
10.1
2.4
4
69%
1
1
0
0
0
2
1
0
2-2
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
48%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.4
5.8
4.9
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 33.2
31.6
1
2-5
46%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 27.2
15.0
0
2-4
58%
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 23.3
3.0
0
0-1
45%
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 22.1
2.3
0
0-0
44%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 25.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 31.6
41.5
34.5
11
35%
6
5
1
1
0
1
3
3
2-2
100%
3-11
4-9
27%
48%
1-4
25%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 24.8
40.1
29.1
30
51%
11
0
0
1
3
2
7
4
8-10
80%
11-25
7-14
44%
52%
0-0
-
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.6
37.6
33.6
15
49%
5
6
0
1
0
5
1
4
3-5
60%
3-9
3-7
33%
48%
2-4
50%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.5
35.6
31.0
9
41%
3
4
3
1
0
4
1
2
2-2
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
50%
1-5
20%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 32.7
22.8
20.8
4
67%
11
0
2
1
1
2
2
9
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
48%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.0
20.7
9.2
4
33%
9
0
0
0
0
0
4
5
0-0
-
2-6
1-2
33%
48%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 32.7
14.4
16.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-3
0%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.8
11.8
17.3
5
36%
1
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
42%
1-5
20%
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 27.4
7.5
7.1
3
150%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
1-1
100%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 26.5
4.8
17.1
2
25%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
3-7
25%
48%
0-0
-
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 24.0
3.4
13.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 38.3
2.7
0
0-0
43%
Tyshawn Taylor
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.8
1.9
0
0-1
45%
Tornike Shengelia
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.