Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	12	Bucks	34%	100	104	99.0	105	101.4
	5	Nuggets	66%	105	112	106.7	105	108.9

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Monta Ellis G · 6'3" 185 · 27	41.7	12	29%	6	6	1	3	2	2	1	5	0-0	-	6-16	38%	0-5	0%
Brandon Jennings G · 6'1" 170 · 23	39.8	12	35%	2	10	3	1	7	2	0	2	2-5	40%	5-12	42%	0-3	0%
Luc Mbah a Moute F · 6'8" 230 · 26	37.8	12	55%	6	2	2	0	2	5	1	5	1-2	50%	4-9	44%	1-1	100%
Ersan Ilyasova F · 6'9" 235 · 26	23.8	6	50%	4	2	0	0	2	5	0	4	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Larry Sanders C · 6'11" 230 · 24	22.9	12	55%	7	1	0	5	0	3	2	5	0-0	-	6-11	55%	0-0	-

Samuel Dalembert C · 6'11" 255 · 33	27.1	35	83%	12	2	0	1	0	3	7	5	1-1	100%	17-21	81%	0-0	-
Mike Dunleavy G-F · 6'9" 230 · 32	21.0	6	50%	3	2	0	0	2	4	0	3	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	1-4	25%
Beno Udrih G · 6'3" 205 · 31	13.9	7	88%	1	2	0	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
John Henson C · 6'11" 229 · 22	12.0	2	14%	3	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	0-1	0%	1-7	14%	0-0	-
Ekpe Udoh C-F · 6'10" 245 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Tobias Harris F · 6'8" 226 · 21	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Drew Gooden F · 6'10" 250 · 31	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Joel Przybilla C · 7'1" 245 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Marquis Daniels #6 · F · 6'6" 200 · 32	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Doron Lamb #20 · G · 6'4" 200 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	49%	44	27	6	11	16	0	12	32	5-11	45%	45-84	54%	3-16	19%

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12 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Monta Ellis G · 6'3" 185 · 27	41.7	12	29%	6	6	1	3	2	2	1	5	0-0	-	6-16	38%	0-5	0%
Brandon Jennings G · 6'1" 170 · 23	39.8	12	35%	2	10	3	1	7	2	0	2	2-5	40%	5-12	42%	0-3	0%
Luc Mbah a Moute F · 6'8" 230 · 26	37.8	12	55%	6	2	2	0	2	5	1	5	1-2	50%	4-9	44%	1-1	100%
Ersan Ilyasova F · 6'9" 235 · 26	23.8	6	50%	4	2	0	0	2	5	0	4	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Larry Sanders C · 6'11" 230 · 24	22.9	12	55%	7	1	0	5	0	3	2	5	0-0	-	6-11	55%	0-0	-

Samuel Dalembert C · 6'11" 255 · 33	27.1	35	83%	12	2	0	1	0	3	7	5	1-1	100%	17-21	81%	0-0	-
Mike Dunleavy G-F · 6'9" 230 · 32	21.0	6	50%	3	2	0	0	2	4	0	3	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	1-4	25%
Beno Udrih G · 6'3" 205 · 31	13.9	7	88%	1	2	0	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
John Henson C · 6'11" 229 · 22	12.0	2	14%	3	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	0-1	0%	1-7	14%	0-0	-
Ekpe Udoh C-F · 6'10" 245 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Tobias Harris F · 6'8" 226 · 21	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Drew Gooden F · 6'10" 250 · 31	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Joel Przybilla C · 7'1" 245 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Marquis Daniels #6 · F · 6'6" 200 · 32	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Doron Lamb #20 · G · 6'4" 200 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	49%	44	27	6	11	16	0	12	32	5-11	45%	45-84	54%	3-16	19%

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5 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 25	36.6	22	69%	2	7	2	0	2	2	0	2	9-11	82%	5-7	71%	1-4	25%
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 24	36.4	22	65%	6	0	0	2	3	5	1	5	5-7	71%	4-8	50%	3-6	50%
Andre Iguodala G · 6'6" 215 · 29	32.0	8	40%	5	5	4	2	3	0	1	4	0-2	0%	4-8	50%	0-1	0%
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 23	30.3	13	50%	10	3	1	2	3	3	2	8	3-4	75%	5-11	45%	0-0	-
Kosta Koufos C · 7'0" 265 · 24	16.5	6	33%	8	0	0	0	0	0	6	2	0-0	-	3-9	33%	0-0	-

Corey Brewer F · 6'9" 186 · 27	26.8	20	63%	4	1	2	0	2	3	1	3	7-9	78%	5-11	45%	1-2	50%
Andre Miller G · 6'3" 200 · 37	22.4	6	38%	3	9	0	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-1	0%
Wilson Chandler F · 6'9" 225 · 26	21.1	7	29%	10	1	0	2	2	1	2	8	1-2	50%	3-9	33%	0-2	0%
JaVale McGee C · 7'0" 270 · 25	17.9	8	80%	5	0	0	4	2	3	3	2	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Timofey Mozgov C · 7'1" 275 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jordan Hamilton G-F · 6'7" 220 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Evan Fournier G-F · 6'7" 205 · 20	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Anthony Randolph · 6'10" 225 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Quincy Miller #30 · F · 6'9" 210 · 20	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Julyan Stone #10 · G · 6'6" 200 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	51%	53	26	9	12	17	0	16	37	27-37	73%	35-75	47%	5-16	31%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	DEN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MIL

0.98 49.1%

DEN

1.01 50.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIL

26

43

60%

DEN

28

55

51%

Midrange

MIL

19

41

46%

DEN

7

20

35%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIL

3

4.5

16

19%

28%

DEN

5

7.5

16

31%

47%

Free Throws

MIL

5

11

45%

DEN

27

37

73%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Dalembert	35	83%	17.5 / 21
M. Ellis	12	29%	6.0 / 21
B. Jennings	12	35%	6.0 / 17
L. Mbah a Moute	12	55%	6.0 / 11
L. Sanders	12	55%	6.0 / 11
B. Udrih	7	88%	3.5 / 4
E. Ilyasova	6	50%	3.0 / 6
M. Dunleavy	6	50%	3.0 / 6
J. Henson	2	14%	1.0 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Lawson	22	69%	11.0 / 16
D. Gallinari	22	65%	11.0 / 17
C. Brewer	20	63%	10.0 / 16
K. Faried	13	50%	6.5 / 13
A. Iguodala	8	40%	4.0 / 10
J. McGee	8	80%	4.0 / 5
W. Chandler	7	29%	3.5 / 12
K. Koufos	6	33%	3.0 / 9
A. Miller	6	38%	3.0 / 8

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	23 103.6 5 110.6	MIL 99.0 DEN 106.7 +7.6
Pace	3 94.8 2 95.0	MIL 101.4 DEN 108.9 +7.4
Avg. Poss. Time	20 15.4 29 14.6	MIL 14.2 DEN 13.2 −1.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	24 47.6% 7 51.5%	MIL 49.5% +2.8% DEN 46.7%
TO %	5 14.3% 18 15.3%	MIL 14.0% DEN 13.7% −0.3%
ORB %	11 28.0% 1 31.4%	MIL 24.5% DEN 33.3% +8.8%
FTrt	27 23.6 5 30.8	MIL 11.0 DEN 40.7 +29.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	14 60.0% 15 60.0%	MIL 56.3% DEN 65.0% +8.7%
STL %	11 8.8% 2 9.7%	MIL 5.7% DEN 8.6% +2.9%
BLK %	4 10.1% 2 10.4%	MIL 14.7% +0.4% DEN 14.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	28 49.7% 7 53.5%	MIL 49.1% DEN 50.5% +1.4%
Rim FG%	27 54.6% 6 60.5%	MIL 60.5% +9.6% DEN 50.9%
Mid FG%	26 36.8% 30 35.7%	MIL 46.3% +11.3% DEN 35.0%
3P %	14 36.0% 25 34.3%	MIL 18.8% DEN 31.3% +12.5%
FT %	22 73.6% 28 70.1%	MIL 45.5% DEN 73.0% +27.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	7 38.4% 1 50.1%	MIL 43.0% DEN 60.4% +17.4%
Mid Att. %	13 38.3% 2 28.2%	MIL 41.0% DEN 22.0% −19.0%
3P Att. %	16 23.2% 22 21.7%	MIL 16.0% DEN 17.6% +1.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.3 and 3.3.

Game Totals	MIL	DEN
Possessions	105	105
Possession Minutes	24.9	23.1
Points	104	112
Rebounds	44	53
Assists	27	26
Steals	6	9
Blocks	11	12
Turnovers (Team)	16 (1)	17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (5)	16 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (3)	37 (1)
Field Goals	48-100	40-91
At-the-Rim FG	26-43	28-55
Midrange FG	19-41	7-20
2-Point FG	45-84	35-75
3-Point FG	3-16	5-16
Free Throws	5-11	27-37
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg