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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 6, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Pacers59%9388
2676ers41%9069
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.8
40.1
39.7
15
45%
5
6
2
2
0
2
1
4
6-8
75%
3-9
4-9
33%
47%
1-4
25%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 26.8
34.1
34.8
15
68%
3
5
1
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
6-8
3-7
75%
49%
1-3
33%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 26.2
33.9
29.5
18
44%
15
1
2
1
4
1
7
8
2-3
67%
8-18
5-10
44%
46%
0-1
0%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.4
30.6
33.7
15
44%
5
1
3
1
0
0
0
5
1-2
50%
7-15
7-14
47%
49%
0-1
0%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 22.4
30.2
32.0
6
38%
6
5
0
1
0
2
1
5
2-2
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
50%
0-3
0%
Orlando Johnson
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.9
17.8
8.2
8
103%
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
42%
2-3
67%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 27.3
17.4
13.1
5
26%
7
1
1
0
0
0
3
4
3-4
75%
1-8
2-4
13%
43%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 26.3
14.1
16.3
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
50%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 25.2
13.9
13.9
6
52%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
3-4
75%
0-2
1-2
0%
42%
1-2
50%
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 27.7
7.9
12.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 27.0
4.2
0
0-1
46%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.8
2.3
0
0-1
48%
Ben Hansbrough
G · 6'3" 203 · 25.1
2.1
0
0-0
42%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 29.8
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 24.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 22.7
40.2
39.6
19
39%
6
4
3
2
1
5
0
6
4-5
80%
6-20
7-15
30%
47%
1-2
50%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 27.7
39.8
33.4
9
36%
5
3
1
1
0
0
2
3
1-1
100%
4-10
3-8
40%
45%
0-2
0%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 24.8
34.4
32.8
6
23%
10
3
0
0
2
0
6
4
0-0
-
3-13
5-10
23%
49%
0-0
-
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 24.3
27.8
32.2
2
10%
10
4
0
1
0
4
1
9
0-0
-
1-9
4-9
11%
45%
0-1
0%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 30.9
6.2
3.3
0
0%
4
1
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 24.0
34.6
24.8
12
45%
5
1
1
0
1
3
2
3
0-1
0%
6-13
3-7
46%
49%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 27.2
30.4
9.6
9
56%
7
3
1
0
3
2
2
5
0-0
-
3-6
1-1
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Arnett Moultrie
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.2
20.7
6.1
12
67%
3
0
2
0
1
0
3
0
0-0
-
6-9
1-1
67%
45%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 31.1
5.9
18.0
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
41%
0-1
0%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 33.1
8.0
0
1-2
41%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 32.0
6.6
0
1-1
47%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 22.8
1.2
0
0-0
42%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.6
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 25.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.