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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 6, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Suns34%9484
23Hornets66%10093
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.8
32.3
29.0
13
49%
2
6
0
1
1
4
0
2
5-5
100%
4-8
4-7
50%
51%
0-3
0%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 29.0
29.6
28.4
14
70%
7
1
0
1
1
1
1
6
0-0
-
7-10
4-8
70%
54%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 27.6
28.1
23.9
14
59%
6
3
0
1
0
1
3
3
1-2
50%
5-6
2-4
83%
53%
1-5
20%
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 27.8
27.0
29.2
6
60%
5
1
1
1
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
3-5
3-5
60%
49%
0-0
-
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 32.8
21.7
24.4
11
38%
2
2
1
1
0
1
1
1
3-3
100%
4-12
5-9
33%
49%
0-1
0%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 23.4
26.3
18.8
2
33%
5
1
1
1
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.1
20.3
24.5
11
44%
5
1
0
1
0
3
2
3
1-1
100%
5-11
4-10
45%
45%
0-1
0%
Kendall Marshall
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.5
20.2
20.2
0
0%
1
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 34.3
18.4
14.1
7
93%
3
0
1
0
0
2
0
3
3-4
75%
2-2
2-4
100%
47%
0-0
-
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 27.2
16.2
19.5
6
33%
4
1
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
47%
0-3
0%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 27.7
5.2
0
0-1
43%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 25.6
3.3
0
0-1
43%
Luke Zeller
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 25.8
1.1
0
0-0
48%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 29.7
Diante Garrett
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 26.1
34.0
30.1
19
92%
1
12
4
1
0
0
0
1
2-3
67%
7-8
4-9
88%
48%
1-1
100%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.1
32.1
17.1
9
29%
0
2
1
1
0
2
0
0
3-4
75%
3-10
2-5
30%
50%
0-4
0%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.4
30.3
21.4
16
81%
11
1
1
1
0
1
1
10
2-2
100%
7-9
2-5
78%
48%
0-0
-
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 24.9
28.7
23.3
11
70%
8
1
1
0
2
1
5
3
1-2
50%
5-7
4-8
71%
55%
0-0
-
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 19.9
19.9
26.4
8
51%
1
1
1
1
3
2
0
1
0-2
0%
4-7
5-9
57%
54%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 24.8
30.9
26.4
14
62%
4
3
0
1
0
3
1
3
3-3
100%
1-4
3-5
25%
50%
3-6
50%
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 21.9
17.6
14.3
4
33%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
45%
0-1
0%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 26.9
16.5
15.3
4
40%
4
1
1
0
2
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-5
3-5
40%
51%
0-0
-
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 20.5
15.9
17.6
2
41%
0
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-1
0%
1-2
2-4
50%
42%
0-0
-
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 27.2
14.1
10.8
6
50%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
45%
0-2
0%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 32.4
13.7
0
1-1
46%
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.9
12.6
0
0-1
49%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.8
8.5
0
1-1
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.