Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	16	Bucks	41%	99	86	89.6	96	103.2
	19	Jazz	59%	102	100	104.2	96	89.7

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brandon Jennings G · 6'1" 170 · 23	35.4	17	43%	5	4	4	0	3	1	1	4	5-9	56%	3-12	25%	2-4	50%
Monta Ellis G · 6'3" 185 · 27	33.4	13	59%	3	5	1	1	1	2	0	3	3-4	75%	5-7	71%	0-2	0%
Ersan Ilyasova F · 6'9" 235 · 26	29.8	17	71%	4	0	0	0	1	3	1	3	3-4	75%	4-6	67%	2-4	50%
Samuel Dalembert C · 6'11" 255 · 33	26.4	10	56%	11	0	4	4	3	3	3	8	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Marquis Daniels F · 6'6" 200 · 32	16.6	0	0%	2	0	1	1	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-1	0%

Mike Dunleavy G-F · 6'9" 230 · 32	30.8	10	38%	1	3	1	1	3	1	0	1	2-2	100%	1-7	14%	2-6	33%
Beno Udrih G · 6'3" 205 · 31	26.1	8	44%	2	2	1	0	2	0	1	1	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	0-2	0%
John Henson C · 6'11" 229 · 22	18.2	7	39%	6	0	0	0	0	4	1	5	3-4	75%	2-7	29%	0-0	-
Drew Gooden F · 6'10" 250 · 31	12.1	2	20%	1	0	0	1	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Ekpe Udoh C-F · 6'10" 245 · 26	6.5	0	0%	1	1	0	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Joel Przybilla C · 7'1" 245 · 33	3.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tobias Harris F · 6'8" 226 · 21	1.8	2	33%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Luc Mbah a Moute F · 6'8" 230 · 26	\| DND - Sore right knee
Doron Lamb #20 · G · 6'4" 200 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Larry Sanders #8 · F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	86	44%	37	15	12	9	16	0	9	28	22-29	76%	23-63	37%	6-19	32%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

16 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brandon Jennings G · 6'1" 170 · 23	35.4	17	43%	5	4	4	0	3	1	1	4	5-9	56%	3-12	25%	2-4	50%
Monta Ellis G · 6'3" 185 · 27	33.4	13	59%	3	5	1	1	1	2	0	3	3-4	75%	5-7	71%	0-2	0%
Ersan Ilyasova F · 6'9" 235 · 26	29.8	17	71%	4	0	0	0	1	3	1	3	3-4	75%	4-6	67%	2-4	50%
Samuel Dalembert C · 6'11" 255 · 33	26.4	10	56%	11	0	4	4	3	3	3	8	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Marquis Daniels F · 6'6" 200 · 32	16.6	0	0%	2	0	1	1	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-1	0%

Mike Dunleavy G-F · 6'9" 230 · 32	30.8	10	38%	1	3	1	1	3	1	0	1	2-2	100%	1-7	14%	2-6	33%
Beno Udrih G · 6'3" 205 · 31	26.1	8	44%	2	2	1	0	2	0	1	1	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	0-2	0%
John Henson C · 6'11" 229 · 22	18.2	7	39%	6	0	0	0	0	4	1	5	3-4	75%	2-7	29%	0-0	-
Drew Gooden F · 6'10" 250 · 31	12.1	2	20%	1	0	0	1	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Ekpe Udoh C-F · 6'10" 245 · 26	6.5	0	0%	1	1	0	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Joel Przybilla C · 7'1" 245 · 33	3.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tobias Harris F · 6'8" 226 · 21	1.8	2	33%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Luc Mbah a Moute F · 6'8" 230 · 26	\| DND - Sore right knee
Doron Lamb #20 · G · 6'4" 200 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Larry Sanders #8 · F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	86	44%	37	15	12	9	16	0	9	28	22-29	76%	23-63	37%	6-19	32%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

19 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paul Millsap F · 6'8" 246 · 28	37.0	19	56%	6	5	2	4	2	2	0	6	3-4	75%	8-15	53%	0-0	-
Al Jefferson C · 6'10" 280 · 28	30.8	19	68%	11	3	1	0	0	2	6	5	3-4	75%	8-12	67%	0-0	-
Randy Foye G · 6'4" 218 · 29	28.4	12	46%	1	1	0	0	3	5	0	1	2-2	100%	2-7	29%	2-5	40%
Marvin Williams F · 6'9" 237 · 27	21.4	3	50%	1	0	0	0	4	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Jamaal Tinsley G · 6'3" 188 · 35	18.7	2	33%	4	5	2	0	1	2	1	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-

DeMarre Carroll F · 6'8" 215 · 27	33.0	11	37%	4	2	0	1	0	2	2	2	3-6	50%	4-11	36%	0-1	0%
Alec Burks G · 6'5" 214 · 22	29.3	8	67%	3	3	1	0	4	4	0	3	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-2	100%
Derrick Favors F-C · 6'10" 265 · 22	21.8	9	41%	11	2	3	3	4	3	3	8	3-7	43%	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Enes Kanter C · 6'11" 245 · 21	17.3	17	77%	9	2	0	4	1	1	5	4	3-3	100%	7-9	78%	0-0	-
Jeremy Evans F · 6'9" 200 · 25	1.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kevin Murphy G · 6'6" 185 · 23	1.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Earl Watson G · 6'1" 199 · 34	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Gordon Hayward F · 6'8" 226 · 23	\| DND - Right shoulder sprain
Raja Bell #19 · G · 6'5" 210 · 36	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Mo Williams #5 · G · 6'1" 198 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	53%	50	23	9	12	19	0	17	33	17-26	65%	34-71	48%	5-10	50%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	UTA
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	UTA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL

0.88 43.9%

UTA

1.05 52.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIL

15

32

47%

UTA

25

43

58%

Midrange

MIL

8

31

26%

UTA

9

28

32%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIL

6

9.0

19

32%

47%

UTA

5

7.5

10

50%

75%

Free Throws

MIL

22

29

76%

UTA

17

26

65%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Jennings	17	43%	8.5 / 20
E. Ilyasova	17	71%	8.5 / 12
M. Ellis	13	59%	6.5 / 11
S. Dalembert	10	56%	5.0 / 9
M. Dunleavy	10	38%	5.0 / 13
B. Udrih	8	44%	4.0 / 9
J. Henson	7	39%	3.5 / 9
D. Gooden	2	20%	1.0 / 5
T. Harris	2	33%	1.0 / 3
M. Daniels	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Millsap	19	56%	9.5 / 17
A. Jefferson	19	68%	9.5 / 14
E. Kanter	17	77%	8.5 / 11
R. Foye	12	46%	6.0 / 13
D. Carroll	11	37%	5.5 / 15
D. Favors	9	41%	4.5 / 11
A. Burks	8	67%	4.0 / 6
M. Williams	3	50%	1.5 / 3
J. Tinsley	2	33%	1.0 / 3
K. Murphy	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	23 103.6 11 106.4	MIL 89.6 UTA 104.2 +14.6
Pace	3 94.8 18 91.3	MIL 103.2 +13.5 UTA 89.7
Avg. Poss. Time	20 15.4 7 16.2	MIL 13.9 −2.1 UTA 16.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	24 47.6% 15 49.2%	MIL 39.0% UTA 51.2% +12.2%
TO %	5 14.3% 19 15.4%	MIL 14.4% −2.6% UTA 17.0%
ORB %	11 28.0% 8 28.8%	MIL 21.4% UTA 37.8% +16.4%
FTrt	27 23.6 12 28.1	MIL 35.4 +3.3 UTA 32.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	14 60.0% 8 61.0%	MIL 51.7% UTA 59.0% +7.3%
STL %	11 8.8% 5 9.2%	MIL 12.5% +3.1% UTA 9.4%
BLK %	4 10.1% 3 10.2%	MIL 12.7% UTA 19.0% +6.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	28 49.7% 17 51.9%	MIL 43.9% UTA 52.6% +8.7%
Rim FG%	27 54.6% 10 58.8%	MIL 46.9% UTA 58.1% +11.2%
Mid FG%	26 36.8% 23 38.2%	MIL 25.8% UTA 32.1% +6.3%
3P %	14 36.0% 8 36.6%	MIL 31.6% UTA 50.0% +18.4%
FT %	22 73.6% 12 76.5%	MIL 75.9% +10.5% UTA 65.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	7 38.4% 14 36.4%	MIL 39.0% UTA 53.1% +14.1%
Mid Att. %	13 38.3% 22 43.0%	MIL 37.8% UTA 34.6% −3.2%
3P Att. %	16 23.2% 28 20.6%	MIL 23.2% +10.8% UTA 12.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIL	UTA
Possessions	96	96
Possession Minutes	22.3	25.7
Points	86	100
Rebounds	37	50
Assists	15	23
Steals	12	9
Blocks	9	12
Turnovers (Team)	16 (0)	19 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (7)	17 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (1)	33 (8)
Field Goals	29-82	39-81
At-the-Rim FG	15-32	25-43
Midrange FG	8-31	9-28
2-Point FG	23-63	34-71
3-Point FG	6-19	5-10
Free Throws	22-29	17-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg