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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 9, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Pistons35%99105
18Bucks65%104100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.4
35.4
28.6
23
88%
5
10
3
1
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
7-9
2-5
78%
48%
3-4
75%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 22.7
34.9
35.0
14
53%
13
4
4
1
0
4
3
10
2-3
67%
6-12
7-14
50%
50%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 30.0
31.5
22.0
4
50%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
46%
0-0
-
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.8
28.8
32.0
11
46%
5
0
0
1
0
1
2
3
1-2
50%
5-10
3-6
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 21.2
25.4
30.6
4
15%
3
4
2
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-10
4-8
20%
44%
0-3
0%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.1
27.9
19.8
12
61%
2
3
1
1
0
2
1
1
4-4
100%
4-8
3-7
50%
46%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 26.8
26.5
25.5
19
76%
3
2
1
1
0
3
2
1
8-8
100%
4-7
3-7
57%
44%
1-2
50%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 28.5
25.4
23.0
18
69%
13
1
0
1
1
3
1
12
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
47%
4-7
57%
Viacheslav Kravtsov
C · 6'11" 254 · 25.5
4.2
3.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-2
0%
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 25.9
10.1
0
1-3
48%
Kim English
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.4
4.2
0
0-1
43%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 33.2
3.7
0
0-1
44%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 21.5
1.0
0
0-0
46%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 19.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 23.4
37.8
35.0
26
44%
2
7
3
2
0
3
0
2
6-6
100%
4-17
5-10
24%
46%
4-10
40%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.3
37.8
35.9
8
40%
2
2
1
2
1
3
0
2
2-2
100%
3-9
6-11
33%
49%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.7
35.5
28.7
15
80%
10
1
3
1
0
0
0
10
3-3
100%
3-5
4-8
60%
50%
2-3
67%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 32.8
33.4
20.6
14
60%
12
0
2
0
5
3
5
7
4-4
100%
5-10
3-6
50%
53%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.4
28.2
19.3
11
56%
6
2
1
1
0
2
3
3
1-2
50%
5-9
2-5
56%
49%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 32.4
26.0
24.3
10
60%
2
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
3-3
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
51%
1-3
33%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.6
20.4
19.2
2
14%
2
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-6
3-5
17%
53%
0-1
0%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 25.7
14.6
6.5
7
53%
3
2
0
0
1
1
1
2
5-6
83%
1-4
1-1
25%
45%
0-0
-
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 22.1
6.4
13.5
7
60%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
1-2
50%
3-5
3-6
60%
51%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 32.1
13.1
1
1-3
48%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 31.4
6.0
0
1-2
46%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.6
2.2
0
0-1
50%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 33.3
2.0
0
0-0
53%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.2
Doron Lamb
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.