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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 9, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Warriors39%10191
12Mavericks61%104116
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 23.0
34.5
31.7
11
39%
3
0
1
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-7
4-8
14%
46%
3-7
43%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.9
30.8
34.5
18
38%
7
4
1
1
0
5
3
4
1-1
100%
7-20
4-10
35%
46%
1-3
33%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 20.7
28.5
28.1
12
55%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
2-7
3-6
29%
48%
2-3
67%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 29.8
20.8
35.1
10
51%
6
0
0
1
0
3
0
6
2-2
100%
4-9
7-14
44%
51%
0-0
-
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.9
13.3
9.1
0
0%
8
2
0
0
0
0
2
6
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
55%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 29.4
28.4
18.5
13
72%
6
1
0
0
0
1
2
4
5-7
71%
4-6
3-6
67%
51%
0-0
-
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.9
23.4
15.7
8
45%
9
1
1
1
0
0
3
6
2-2
100%
3-8
1-3
38%
44%
0-0
-
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 23.6
20.1
11.4
7
27%
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
1-4
25%
3-8
1-3
38%
44%
0-3
0%
Charles Jenkins
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.9
13.3
6.7
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.3
11.3
6.5
4
67%
4
0
0
0
1
1
3
1
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
46%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 32.6
10.7
11.0
5
91%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
0-0
-
Jeremy Tyler
F · 6'10" 250 · 21.6
4.8
3.0
3
52%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
1-2
50%
1-2
1-1
50%
45%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.3
14.7
0
2-4
48%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 27.6
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 28.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.3
36.1
35.7
19
63%
3
9
2
1
1
2
0
3
5-5
100%
4-9
4-9
44%
48%
2-4
50%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.5
32.9
27.7
18
80%
4
8
0
1
0
2
1
3
5-5
100%
2-5
3-7
40%
50%
3-4
75%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 34.8
30.1
29.1
26
77%
11
1
2
1
1
0
1
10
2-2
100%
9-13
5-10
69%
51%
2-3
67%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 34.6
25.8
27.3
15
45%
6
1
0
0
1
0
1
5
8-11
73%
2-10
5-10
20%
49%
1-2
50%
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 28.0
12.9
18.3
2
30%
3
0
1
0
0
1
2
1
0-3
0%
1-2
2-4
50%
51%
0-0
-
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 33.9
29.0
22.0
11
56%
11
2
2
1
2
1
1
10
1-2
50%
5-9
4-7
56%
49%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 36.0
22.4
20.3
7
53%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
4-6
67%
0-1
2-4
0%
47%
1-3
33%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.6
13.2
17.1
6
60%
1
0
1
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
47%
2-3
67%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 32.1
11.0
5.7
6
80%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
45%
0-0
-
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.0
10.9
14.4
4
67%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
49%
0-1
0%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.3
8.2
10.2
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
59%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 37.6
4.2
5.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.3
3.2
6.0
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 30.8
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 21.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.