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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 10, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Nuggets49%98114
16Celtics51%99118
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 25.3
54.7
33.2
29
66%
6
9
1
1
0
5
2
4
0-0
-
10-16
5-10
63%
49%
3-6
50%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.5
49.2
33.5
18
42%
10
3
3
1
2
4
1
9
2-3
67%
5-12
3-7
42%
46%
2-8
25%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.2
38.5
27.8
14
54%
12
1
3
1
1
3
4
8
4-7
57%
5-10
5-8
50%
54%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29.0
19.9
30.9
5
42%
2
4
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
3-7
33%
48%
1-3
33%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 24.0
19.4
18.9
8
67%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-6
3-5
67%
55%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 36.9
39.8
23.5
15
42%
5
6
0
1
1
5
3
2
0-0
-
6-15
3-6
40%
47%
1-3
33%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.8
32.9
20.7
7
39%
8
1
0
1
2
1
0
8
0-0
-
2-7
3-6
29%
46%
1-2
50%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 25.1
32.2
16.1
5
32%
16
0
0
0
3
0
3
13
1-2
50%
2-7
3-6
29%
54%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 26.9
28.3
21.0
13
38%
4
1
3
1
1
1
2
2
3-5
60%
5-11
3-6
45%
47%
0-4
0%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 26.6
5.7
0
1-1
50%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 20.3
4.7
0
0-1
47%
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 22.3
4.4
0
1-1
47%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 23.6
3.4
0
1-1
45%
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.2
Quincy Miller
F · 6'9" 210 · 20.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 35.3
54.2
32.0
27
56%
14
14
0
1
0
4
0
14
8-9
89%
2-11
4-9
18%
48%
5-9
56%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 36.7
47.0
26.6
20
40%
18
6
2
1
3
1
3
15
2-2
100%
9-24
5-11
38%
51%
0-0
-
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.2
45.7
27.6
13
54%
5
4
3
1
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
5-10
3-7
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 27.8
32.5
24.7
5
32%
4
3
0
1
0
1
3
1
1-2
50%
2-7
3-6
29%
49%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 27.4
23.3
25.3
2
20%
1
3
2
1
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
49%
0-2
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 35.4
42.6
25.6
26
58%
2
1
3
1
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
5-8
2-4
63%
50%
5-14
36%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.5
41.6
26.3
17
72%
4
1
2
1
3
4
0
4
4-4
100%
5-9
3-7
56%
49%
1-1
100%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 30.2
16.9
21.3
5
50%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
48%
1-2
50%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 30.4
10.9
10.0
3
27%
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
3-6
50%
0-3
1-2
0%
58%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 34.2
0.0
7.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 27.0
11.2
1
2-4
50%
Fab Melo
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.6
3.1
0
0-1
51%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 20.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.